Skip to main content
icon for What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
Ekonomi·Real Estate

What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?

icon for What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
Ekonomi·Real Estate

What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?

Sep 30

Sep 30

$512K - $518K 39.5%

$518K - $524K 35.1%

$524K - $530K 16.8%

<$512K 8.1%

Polymarket

$34,207 Vol.

$512K - $518K 39.5%

$518K - $524K 35.1%

$524K - $530K 16.8%

<$512K 8.1%

Polymarket

$34,207 Vol.

<$512K

$877 Vol.

8%

$512K - $518K

$3,470 Vol.

39%

$518K - $524K

$9,429 Vol.

35%

$524K - $530K

$4,395 Vol.

20%

$530K - $536K

$4,122 Vol.

4%

$536K - $542K

$7,787 Vol.

6%

$542K+

$4,128 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent increases in active listings—up nearly 50% year-over-year in the DC metro area—combined with longer days on market and modest year-over-year declines in home values (around 1.7% through July 2026 per Zillow data) have shaped trader sentiment around the $512K–$524K range. Elevated mortgage rates near 6% and uncertainty tied to federal employment shifts continue to weigh on buyer demand, supporting the close split between the leading $512K–$518K (42.4%) and $518K–$524K (34.2%) outcomes. Seasonal patterns through late summer and any acceleration in inventory absorption could differentiate the bins before September 30 resolution, while broader forecasts point to roughly 1% price softening for the full year.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Volume
$34,207
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent increases in active listings—up nearly 50% year-over-year in the DC metro area—combined with longer days on market and modest year-over-year declines in home values (around 1.7% through July 2026 per Zillow data) have shaped trader sentiment around the $512K–$524K range. Elevated mortgage rates near 6% and uncertainty tied to federal employment shifts continue to weigh on buyer demand, supporting the close split between the leading $512K–$518K (42.4%) and $518K–$524K (34.2%) outcomes. Seasonal patterns through late summer and any acceleration in inventory absorption could differentiate the bins before September 30 resolution, while broader forecasts point to roughly 1% price softening for the full year.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Volume
$34,207
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)

Terkait

icon for Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?

Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?

56%
icon for Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?

Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?

35%
icon for Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?

Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?

57%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "$512K - $518K" di 39%, diikuti oleh "$518K - $524K" di 35%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 39¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 39% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?" telah menghasilkan $34.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 1, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?" adalah "$512K - $518K" di 39%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 39% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "$518K - $524K" di 35%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.