Anthropic holds a commanding lead in this market because its Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview models have posted top or near-top scores on recent intelligence and reasoning benchmarks, including strong results in agentic coding and instruction-following that align with style-controlled evaluations. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro remains competitive through superior multimodal and accuracy metrics on GPQA Diamond and ARC-AGI-2, yet trails in the specific style-control criteria traders are pricing. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5, released in late April, improved hallucination rates and daily-use performance but has not yet displaced Anthropic on the leaderboard subsets most relevant to this resolution. With the June cutoff approaching, traders appear focused on which lab’s latest large language model will maintain the highest composite ranking once all current frontier releases are fully assessed.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAnthropic 68%
Google 23%
OpenAI 6%
xAI 2.6%
$1,457,332 Vol.
$1,457,332 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
68%
23%
OpenAI
6%
xAI
3%
DeepSeek
1%
Alibaba
1%
Meta
1%
Z.ai
1%
Microsoft
1%
Moonshot
1%
Meituan
<1%
Mistral
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Anthropic 68%
Google 23%
OpenAI 6%
xAI 2.6%
$1,457,332 Vol.
$1,457,332 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
$30,603 Vol.
68%
$18,763 Vol.
23%
OpenAI
$49,359 Vol.
6%
xAI
$14,989 Vol.
3%
DeepSeek
$201,403 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
$136,546 Vol.
1%
Meta
$8,179 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$412,921 Vol.
1%
Microsoft
$11,907 Vol.
1%
Moonshot
$203,389 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$270,728 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$59,374 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$12,844 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$8,646 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$17,681 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic holds a commanding lead in this market because its Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview models have posted top or near-top scores on recent intelligence and reasoning benchmarks, including strong results in agentic coding and instruction-following that align with style-controlled evaluations. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro remains competitive through superior multimodal and accuracy metrics on GPQA Diamond and ARC-AGI-2, yet trails in the specific style-control criteria traders are pricing. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5, released in late April, improved hallucination rates and daily-use performance but has not yet displaced Anthropic on the leaderboard subsets most relevant to this resolution. With the June cutoff approaching, traders appear focused on which lab’s latest large language model will maintain the highest composite ranking once all current frontier releases are fully assessed.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Volume
$1,457,332Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic holds a commanding lead in this market because its Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview models have posted top or near-top scores on recent intelligence and reasoning benchmarks, including strong results in agentic coding and instruction-following that align with style-controlled evaluations. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro remains competitive through superior multimodal and accuracy metrics on GPQA Diamond and ARC-AGI-2, yet trails in the specific style-control criteria traders are pricing. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5, released in late April, improved hallucination rates and daily-use performance but has not yet displaced Anthropic on the leaderboard subsets most relevant to this resolution. With the June cutoff approaching, traders appear focused on which lab’s latest large language model will maintain the highest composite ranking once all current frontier releases are fully assessed.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$1,457,332Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic holds a commanding lead in this market because its Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview models have posted top or near-top scores on recent intelligence and reasoning benchmarks, including strong results in agentic coding and instruction-following that align with style-controlled evaluations. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro remains competitive through superior multimodal and accuracy metrics on GPQA Diamond and ARC-AGI-2, yet trails in the specific style-control criteria traders are pricing. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5, released in late April, improved hallucination rates and daily-use performance but has not yet displaced Anthropic on the leaderboard subsets most relevant to this resolution. With the June cutoff approaching, traders appear focused on which lab’s latest large language model will maintain the highest composite ranking once all current frontier releases are fully assessed.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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