Trader consensus assigns a 95.5% implied probability to NASDAQ for SpaceX's exchange listing, propelled by Nasdaq's unprecedented waiver of its six-month seasoning period, enabling immediate Nasdaq 100 index inclusion upon IPO. This forces passive funds to buy billions in shares, injecting massive liquidity absent from NYSE alternatives. SpaceX confidentially filed with the SEC in early April for a potential $1.75–2 trillion valuation debut, expected late June amid Starship mission successes bolstering valuation. Realistic challenges include Musk favoring the nascent Texas Stock Exchange for deregulation appeal or regulatory snags delaying Nasdaq fast-tracking, though current momentum favors the index-driven path.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNASDAQ 96%
Other 4.2%
NYSE 1.1%
$100,485 Vol.
$100,485 Vol.
NASDAQ
96%
Other
4%
NYSE
1%
NASDAQ 96%
Other 4.2%
NYSE 1.1%
$100,485 Vol.
$100,485 Vol.
NASDAQ
$23,444 Vol.
96%
Other
$58,130 Vol.
4%
NYSE
$18,910 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus assigns a 95.5% implied probability to NASDAQ for SpaceX's exchange listing, propelled by Nasdaq's unprecedented waiver of its six-month seasoning period, enabling immediate Nasdaq 100 index inclusion upon IPO. This forces passive funds to buy billions in shares, injecting massive liquidity absent from NYSE alternatives. SpaceX confidentially filed with the SEC in early April for a potential $1.75–2 trillion valuation debut, expected late June amid Starship mission successes bolstering valuation. Realistic challenges include Musk favoring the nascent Texas Stock Exchange for deregulation appeal or regulatory snags delaying Nasdaq fast-tracking, though current momentum favors the index-driven path.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$100,485Pasar Dibuka
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus assigns a 95.5% implied probability to NASDAQ for SpaceX's exchange listing, propelled by Nasdaq's unprecedented waiver of its six-month seasoning period, enabling immediate Nasdaq 100 index inclusion upon IPO. This forces passive funds to buy billions in shares, injecting massive liquidity absent from NYSE alternatives. SpaceX confidentially filed with the SEC in early April for a potential $1.75–2 trillion valuation debut, expected late June amid Starship mission successes bolstering valuation. Realistic challenges include Musk favoring the nascent Texas Stock Exchange for deregulation appeal or regulatory snags delaying Nasdaq fast-tracking, though current momentum favors the index-driven path.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$100,485Pasar Dibuka
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 95.5% implied probability to NASDAQ for SpaceX's exchange listing, propelled by Nasdaq's unprecedented waiver of its six-month seasoning period, enabling immediate Nasdaq 100 index inclusion upon IPO. This forces passive funds to buy billions in shares, injecting massive liquidity absent from NYSE alternatives. SpaceX confidentially filed with the SEC in early April for a potential $1.75–2 trillion valuation debut, expected late June amid Starship mission successes bolstering valuation. Realistic challenges include Musk favoring the nascent Texas Stock Exchange for deregulation appeal or regulatory snags delaying Nasdaq fast-tracking, though current momentum favors the index-driven path.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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