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Olahraga·Piala Dunia

Which team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup?

icon for Which team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup?
Olahraga·Piala Dunia

Which team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup?

No Replacement 91.0%

Italy 6.5%

UAE 2.6%

Other <1%

Polymarket

$33,609 Vol.

No Replacement 91.0%

Italy 6.5%

UAE 2.6%

Other <1%

Polymarket

$33,609 Vol.

icon for No Replacement

No Replacement

$10,631 Vol.

91%

icon for Italy

Italy

$15,896 Vol.

7%

icon for UAE

UAE

$3,021 Vol.

3%

icon for Other

Other

$2,340 Vol.

1%

icon for Bolivia

Bolivia

$1,721 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no replacement for Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflecting FIFA's repeated confirmation that the team will compete in Group G alongside Belgium, Egypt, and New Zealand, backed by the Iranian Football Federation's May 10 statement affirming full participation. Recent dismissals of political suggestions to swap in Italy—labeled inappropriate by Italian officials and rejected by FIFA President Gianni Infantino—have further stabilized the implied probability. The UAE sits as the leading alternative under AFC replacement rules if Iran withdraws, but no credible reports indicate such a move. Geopolitical tensions could still prompt a late withdrawal or entry denial, potentially opening the door for another Asian side or an extraordinary FIFA decision.

This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$33,609
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no replacement for Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflecting FIFA's repeated confirmation that the team will compete in Group G alongside Belgium, Egypt, and New Zealand, backed by the Iranian Football Federation's May 10 statement affirming full participation. Recent dismissals of political suggestions to swap in Italy—labeled inappropriate by Italian officials and rejected by FIFA President Gianni Infantino—have further stabilized the implied probability. The UAE sits as the leading alternative under AFC replacement rules if Iran withdraws, but no credible reports indicate such a move. Geopolitical tensions could still prompt a late withdrawal or entry denial, potentially opening the door for another Asian side or an extraordinary FIFA decision.

This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$33,609
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Which team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "No Replacement" di 91%, diikuti oleh "Italy" di 7%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 91¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 91% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Which team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup?" telah menghasilkan $33.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 24, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Which team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup?," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Which team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup?" adalah "No Replacement" di 91%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 91% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Italy" di 7%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Which team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.