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Politik·Selebriti

Siapa yang akan mengumumkan pencalonan Presiden sebelum 2027?

icon for Siapa yang akan mengumumkan pencalonan Presiden sebelum 2027?
Politik·Selebriti

Siapa yang akan mengumumkan pencalonan Presiden sebelum 2027?

$1,005,016 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,005,016 Vol.

Polymarket
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Tucker Carlson

$18,667 Vol.

11%

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Kamala Harris

$52,917 Vol.

11%

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Rahm Emanuel

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10%

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Gavin Newsom

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10%

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Andy Beshear

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10%

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Mark Kelly

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Pete Buttigieg

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Don Lemon

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Rand Paul

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8%

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8%

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J.D. Vance

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8%

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8%

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Steve Bannon

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8%

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Donald Trump

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Candace Owens

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

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7%

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Matt Gaetz

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7%

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Brian Kemp

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Raphael Warnock

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7%

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Gretchen Whitmer

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7%

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J.B. Pritzker

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6%

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Mark Cuban

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Josh Shapiro

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George Clooney

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6%

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Glenn Youngkin

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Cory Booker

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Greg Abbott

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5%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

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5%

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Erika Kirk

$23,832 Vol.

5%

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Ron DeSantis

$2,379 Vol.

5%

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Donald Trump Jr.

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5%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

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5%

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Gina Raimondo

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Hunter Biden

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Elise Stefanik

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Jon Stewart

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3%

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Jon Ossoff

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Beto O’Rourke

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3%

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Wes Moore

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3%

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MrBeast

$29,152 Vol.

3%

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3%

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Hillary Clinton

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2%

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Michelle Obama

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John Fetterman

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2%

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2%

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1%

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1%

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1%

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1%

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Mike Pence

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Tulsi Gabbard

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1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$16,575 Vol.

1%

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$7,864 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Potential 2028 presidential contenders from both major parties have formed exploratory committees or signaled interest through public appearances and fundraising, yet as of August 2026 no leading figures have formally announced campaigns. Traders assign modest probabilities across names such as Kamala Harris, Rahm Emanuel, Gavin Newsom, and Mark Kelly, reflecting uncertainty over announcement timing before the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Democrats recently advanced discussions on the 2028 primary calendar, while Republican positioning centers on figures tied to the current administration. Historical patterns show early announcements often follow midterm results or party conventions, with FEC filings by lesser-known candidates already occurring but major contenders typically waiting for clearer signals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,005,016
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Potential 2028 presidential contenders from both major parties have formed exploratory committees or signaled interest through public appearances and fundraising, yet as of August 2026 no leading figures have formally announced campaigns. Traders assign modest probabilities across names such as Kamala Harris, Rahm Emanuel, Gavin Newsom, and Mark Kelly, reflecting uncertainty over announcement timing before the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Democrats recently advanced discussions on the 2028 primary calendar, while Republican positioning centers on figures tied to the current administration. Historical patterns show early announcements often follow midterm results or party conventions, with FEC filings by lesser-known candidates already occurring but major contenders typically waiting for clearer signals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,005,016
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Siapa yang akan mengumumkan pencalonan Presiden sebelum 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 71+ hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Tucker Carlson" di 11%, diikuti oleh "Kamala Harris" di 11%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 11¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 11% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Siapa yang akan mengumumkan pencalonan Presiden sebelum 2027?" telah menghasilkan $1 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 19, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Siapa yang akan mengumumkan pencalonan Presiden sebelum 2027?," jelajahi 71+ hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Siapa yang akan mengumumkan pencalonan Presiden sebelum 2027?" adalah "Tucker Carlson" di 11%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 11% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Kamala Harris" di 11%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Siapa yang akan mengumumkan pencalonan Presiden sebelum 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.