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Politik·Selebriti

Siapa yang akan mengumumkan pencalonan Presiden sebelum 2027?

icon for Siapa yang akan mengumumkan pencalonan Presiden sebelum 2027?
Politik·Selebriti

Siapa yang akan mengumumkan pencalonan Presiden sebelum 2027?

$1,008,143 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,008,143 Vol.

Polymarket
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Tucker Carlson

$21,557 Vol.

14%

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Kamala Harris

$52,917 Vol.

11%

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Rahm Emanuel

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10%

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Gavin Newsom

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10%

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Andy Beshear

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10%

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Mark Kelly

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10%

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Pete Buttigieg

$13,955 Vol.

10%

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Don Lemon

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9%

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Stephen A. Smith

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9%

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Rand Paul

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8%

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Ted Cruz

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8%

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J.D. Vance

$29,300 Vol.

8%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

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8%

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Steve Bannon

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8%

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Donald Trump

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7%

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Candace Owens

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7%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

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7%

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Matt Gaetz

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7%

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Brian Kemp

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7%

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Raphael Warnock

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7%

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Gretchen Whitmer

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7%

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J.B. Pritzker

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6%

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Mark Cuban

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6%

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Josh Shapiro

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6%

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5%

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Cory Booker

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Greg Abbott

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

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5%

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Erika Kirk

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5%

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Ron DeSantis

$2,379 Vol.

5%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$5,583 Vol.

5%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

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5%

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Gina Raimondo

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4%

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Kristi Noem

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4%

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Hunter Biden

$51,170 Vol.

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Nikki Haley

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4%

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Ivanka Trump

$33,823 Vol.

4%

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Beto O’Rourke

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4%

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3%

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Jon Stewart

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3%

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Jon Ossoff

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3%

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Wes Moore

$6,880 Vol.

3%

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Zohran Mamdani

$35,343 Vol.

3%

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Hillary Clinton

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Liz Cheney

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3%

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MrBeast

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2%

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2%

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Jared Polis

$6,143 Vol.

2%

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Michelle Obama

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2%

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John Fetterman

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2%

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Byron Donalds

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2%

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LeBron James

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2%

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Andrew Yang

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2%

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Tim Walz

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2%

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Barack Obama

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1%

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Phil Murphy

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1%

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1%

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1%

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1%

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Roy Cooper

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1%

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1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

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1%

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Mike Pence

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1%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$6,252 Vol.

1%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$7,864 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of August 2026, no major-party contenders have formally announced 2028 presidential bids, leaving the field open amid early positioning by figures such as Gavin Newsom, JD Vance, Pete Buttigieg, and Jon Ossoff. Trader focus centers on the post-2026 midterm period, when candidates often test the waters through exploratory committees, fundraising, or public statements before full launches. Democrats are weighing primary calendar adjustments that could influence early-state dynamics, while Republican prospects navigate term-limit constraints and Senate or gubernatorial records. Minor FEC filings exist but lack broad name recognition. Key upcoming catalysts include November 2026 midterm results, which may reshape polling averages and endorsement patterns, plus any late-2026 signals from potential challengers ahead of the 2027 announcement window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,008,143
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of August 2026, no major-party contenders have formally announced 2028 presidential bids, leaving the field open amid early positioning by figures such as Gavin Newsom, JD Vance, Pete Buttigieg, and Jon Ossoff. Trader focus centers on the post-2026 midterm period, when candidates often test the waters through exploratory committees, fundraising, or public statements before full launches. Democrats are weighing primary calendar adjustments that could influence early-state dynamics, while Republican prospects navigate term-limit constraints and Senate or gubernatorial records. Minor FEC filings exist but lack broad name recognition. Key upcoming catalysts include November 2026 midterm results, which may reshape polling averages and endorsement patterns, plus any late-2026 signals from potential challengers ahead of the 2027 announcement window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,008,143
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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icon for Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Siapa yang akan mengumumkan pencalonan Presiden sebelum 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 71+ hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Tucker Carlson" di 14%, diikuti oleh "Kamala Harris" di 11%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 14¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 14% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Siapa yang akan mengumumkan pencalonan Presiden sebelum 2027?" telah menghasilkan $1 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 19, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Siapa yang akan mengumumkan pencalonan Presiden sebelum 2027?," jelajahi 71+ hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Siapa yang akan mengumumkan pencalonan Presiden sebelum 2027?" adalah "Tucker Carlson" di 14%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 14% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Kamala Harris" di 11%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Siapa yang akan mengumumkan pencalonan Presiden sebelum 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.