Trader sentiment in the "Who will be arrested before 2027" market centers on active federal investigations and grand jury proceedings involving former U.S. intelligence and law enforcement officials, including John Brennan and James Comey. Administration statements from FBI Director Kash Patel and Attorney General Todd Blanche have highlighted ongoing reviews tied to prior Russia-related matters and other cases, with subpoenas and witness testimony reported in 2025-2026. Resolution requires a qualifying arrest or detention by December 31, 2026, which includes voluntary surrender following indictment. Lower probabilities attach to international figures or those facing jurisdictional hurdles, while domestic cases benefit from established DOJ processes and shorter statutes of limitations for many felonies. Scheduled court activity and any new indictments before year-end remain the primary near-term catalysts.