This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments center on a preliminary U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding reached in mid-June 2026 after more than 100 days of conflict that began with U.S.-Israeli strikes in February. The 14-point framework extends the existing ceasefire for 60 days, commits Iran to forgo nuclear weapons, outlines sanctions relief and oil export waivers tied to further progress, and schedules reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, with formal signing expected shortly in Geneva. Nuclear enrichment limits, highly enriched uranium stockpiles, and a $300 billion reconstruction fund remain deferred for the next negotiation round. President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian have been central signatories to the initial document, while mediators from Pakistan and Qatar facilitated talks. The 60-day window ending around mid-August creates a clear timeline for any comprehensive follow-on agreement before the market resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent developments center on a preliminary U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding reached in mid-June 2026 after more than 100 days of conflict that began with U.S.-Israeli strikes in February. The 14-point framework extends the existing ceasefire for 60 days, commits Iran to forgo nuclear weapons, outlines sanctions relief and oil export waivers tied to further progress, and schedules reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, with formal signing expected shortly in Geneva. Nuclear enrichment limits, highly enriched uranium stockpiles, and a $300 billion reconstruction fund remain deferred for the next negotiation round. President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian have been central signatories to the initial document, while mediators from Pakistan and Qatar facilitated talks. The 60-day window ending around mid-August creates a clear timeline for any comprehensive follow-on agreement before the market resolution date.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Jun 19 2026
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman congratulates Pakistan PM on U.S.-Iran peace deal
Mohammed bin Salman dips to 5%1%
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman expressed support for the U.S.-Iran peace agreement and praised Pakistan's mediation efforts. This endorsement slightly increased market confidence in Mohammed bin Salman as a potential signatory.
Jun 18 2026
Trump envoy Steve Witkoff briefs US Congress on Iran deal details including nuclear inspections
Steve Witkoff plunges to 3%42%
Witkoff revealed that Iran will invite the IAEA to inspect nuclear sites, indicating ongoing cooperation post-deal; his role as special envoy was critical but he was not a signatory, reflected in low market prices.
Jun 18 2026
Marco Rubio remains silent amid growing criticism of Iran deal
Secretary of State Marco Rubio maintained a low profile as criticism of the Iran deal intensified, signaling political caution. This sustained low market confidence in Rubio as a signatory.
Jun 17 2026
Qatari Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani discusses US-Iran ceasefire and regional stability with French President Macron
Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani plunges to 8%37%
Sheikh Tamim's diplomatic engagement and mediation efforts were recognized as important for regional peace, though he was not a signatory, reflected in low market confidence.
Jun 17 2026
White House explores meeting to revive U.S.-Iran negotiations
Abbas Araghchi drops to 11%14%
The White House considered a meeting between envoy Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi to revive negotiations and prevent further conflict, indicating ongoing diplomatic efforts. This maintained market uncertainty for Araghchi as a signatory.
Jun 17 2026
U.S. and Iran sign initial deal at Palace of Versailles, Trump physically signs and hands pen to Rubio
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf plunges to 14%76%
President Donald Trump signed the U.S.-Iran agreement at the Palace of Versailles in France, handing the document and pen to Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf also signed the deal digitally. This event confirmed Ghalibaf as the signatory and caused a sharp drop in confidence for other potential signatories.
Jun 17 2026
Donald Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian sign US-Iran peace memorandum at Versailles
Marco Rubio plunges to 7%39%
President Trump signed the peace deal at the Palace of Versailles, handing the document to Secretary of State Marco Rubio, while Iranian President Pezeshkian signed in Tehran, confirming the deal's execution.
Jun 17 2026
Democrats demand briefing from Marco Rubio on U.S.-Iran memorandum
Top Democrats requested an immediate briefing from Secretary of State Marco Rubio on the memorandum of understanding with Iran, highlighting political scrutiny and pressure. This event contributed to market skepticism about Rubio's role as a signatory.
Jun 17 2026
Top Democrats demand briefing from Secretary of State Marco Rubio on U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding
Marco Rubio plunges to 11%35%
Congressional Democrats requested a briefing from Secretary of State Marco Rubio on the U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding, reflecting scrutiny and skepticism about the deal. Rubio's role as Secretary of State and his involvement in the deal affected market confidence in him as a signatory.
Jun 16 2026
Marco Rubio and other U.S. officials express skepticism over Iran deal
Marco Rubio dips to 9%2%
Secretary of State Marco Rubio and other U.S. officials voiced doubts about Iran's commitment to the memorandum of understanding, reflecting internal U.S. skepticism. This caused a decline in market confidence for Rubio as a potential signatory.
Jun 16 2026
Saudi Cabinet chaired by Mohammed bin Salman welcomes US-Iran agreement
Mohammed bin Salman plunges to 5%41%
Saudi Arabia's official support for the US-Iran deal slightly increased market confidence in Mohammed bin Salman as a potential signatory.
Jun 16 2026
Qatar Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani and U.S. President Trump discuss regional tensions and diplomatic efforts
Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani plunges to 25%20%
Qatari Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani and U.S. President Donald Trump discussed regional developments and efforts to maintain peace and security, including support for diplomatic efforts led by Pakistan to prevent escalation between the U.S. and Iran. This reinforced market confidence in Sheikh Tamim as a potential signatory.
Jun 15 2026
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu opposes U.S.-Iran deal, distances himself from signing
Benjamin Netanyahu plunges to 8%37%
Benjamin Netanyahu publicly opposed the U.S.-Iran peace deal, emphasizing Israel is not a signatory and distancing himself from Trump's decision to sign it. This opposition contributed to a decline in market confidence for Netanyahu as a potential signatory.
Jun 15 2026
U.S. Vice President JD Vance announces digital signing of U.S.-Iran memorandum
Abbas Araghchi plunges to 11%24%
JD Vance announced that the memorandum of understanding between the U.S. and Iran was digitally signed, confirming the deal's formalization. This event caused a sharp drop in confidence for Abbas Araghchi and Marco Rubio as signatories, while Ghalibaf's probability fluctuated.
Jun 15 2026
U.S. and Iran reach preliminary peace agreement, signing planned for Friday
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf plunges to 11%34%
A memorandum of understanding was announced to extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with signing scheduled, increasing market confidence in key signatories.
Jun 14 2026
U.S. and Iran reach preliminary peace deal, signing planned for June 19
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf surges to 90%39%
The U.S. and Iran announced a preliminary agreement to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with a signing ceremony scheduled in Switzerland. This boosted market confidence in Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf as the lead Iranian negotiator expected to sign the deal.
Jun 12 2026
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi signals deal with U.S. 'never been closer'
Abbas Araghchi surges to 82%37%
Araghchi's positive comments on the proximity of a deal boosted market optimism for his signing potential, though skepticism remained about final agreement details.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments center on a preliminary U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding reached in mid-June 2026 after more than 100 days of conflict that began with U.S.-Israeli strikes in February. The 14-point framework extends the existing ceasefire for 60 days, commits Iran to forgo nuclear weapons, outlines sanctions relief and oil export waivers tied to further progress, and schedules reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, with formal signing expected shortly in Geneva. Nuclear enrichment limits, highly enriched uranium stockpiles, and a $300 billion reconstruction fund remain deferred for the next negotiation round. President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian have been central signatories to the initial document, while mediators from Pakistan and Qatar facilitated talks. The 60-day window ending around mid-August creates a clear timeline for any comprehensive follow-on agreement before the market resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent developments center on a preliminary U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding reached in mid-June 2026 after more than 100 days of conflict that began with U.S.-Israeli strikes in February. The 14-point framework extends the existing ceasefire for 60 days, commits Iran to forgo nuclear weapons, outlines sanctions relief and oil export waivers tied to further progress, and schedules reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, with formal signing expected shortly in Geneva. Nuclear enrichment limits, highly enriched uranium stockpiles, and a $300 billion reconstruction fund remain deferred for the next negotiation round. President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian have been central signatories to the initial document, while mediators from Pakistan and Qatar facilitated talks. The 60-day window ending around mid-August creates a clear timeline for any comprehensive follow-on agreement before the market resolution date.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Jun 19 2026
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman congratulates Pakistan PM on U.S.-Iran peace deal
Mohammed bin Salman dips to 5%1%
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman expressed support for the U.S.-Iran peace agreement and praised Pakistan's mediation efforts. This endorsement slightly increased market confidence in Mohammed bin Salman as a potential signatory.
Jun 18 2026
Trump envoy Steve Witkoff briefs US Congress on Iran deal details including nuclear inspections
Steve Witkoff plunges to 3%42%
Witkoff revealed that Iran will invite the IAEA to inspect nuclear sites, indicating ongoing cooperation post-deal; his role as special envoy was critical but he was not a signatory, reflected in low market prices.
Jun 18 2026
Marco Rubio remains silent amid growing criticism of Iran deal
Secretary of State Marco Rubio maintained a low profile as criticism of the Iran deal intensified, signaling political caution. This sustained low market confidence in Rubio as a signatory.
Jun 17 2026
Qatari Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani discusses US-Iran ceasefire and regional stability with French President Macron
Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani plunges to 8%37%
Sheikh Tamim's diplomatic engagement and mediation efforts were recognized as important for regional peace, though he was not a signatory, reflected in low market confidence.
Jun 17 2026
White House explores meeting to revive U.S.-Iran negotiations
Abbas Araghchi drops to 11%14%
The White House considered a meeting between envoy Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi to revive negotiations and prevent further conflict, indicating ongoing diplomatic efforts. This maintained market uncertainty for Araghchi as a signatory.
Jun 17 2026
U.S. and Iran sign initial deal at Palace of Versailles, Trump physically signs and hands pen to Rubio
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf plunges to 14%76%
President Donald Trump signed the U.S.-Iran agreement at the Palace of Versailles in France, handing the document and pen to Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf also signed the deal digitally. This event confirmed Ghalibaf as the signatory and caused a sharp drop in confidence for other potential signatories.
Jun 17 2026
Donald Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian sign US-Iran peace memorandum at Versailles
Marco Rubio plunges to 7%39%
President Trump signed the peace deal at the Palace of Versailles, handing the document to Secretary of State Marco Rubio, while Iranian President Pezeshkian signed in Tehran, confirming the deal's execution.
Jun 17 2026
Democrats demand briefing from Marco Rubio on U.S.-Iran memorandum
Top Democrats requested an immediate briefing from Secretary of State Marco Rubio on the memorandum of understanding with Iran, highlighting political scrutiny and pressure. This event contributed to market skepticism about Rubio's role as a signatory.
Jun 17 2026
Top Democrats demand briefing from Secretary of State Marco Rubio on U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding
Marco Rubio plunges to 11%35%
Congressional Democrats requested a briefing from Secretary of State Marco Rubio on the U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding, reflecting scrutiny and skepticism about the deal. Rubio's role as Secretary of State and his involvement in the deal affected market confidence in him as a signatory.
Jun 16 2026
Marco Rubio and other U.S. officials express skepticism over Iran deal
Marco Rubio dips to 9%2%
Secretary of State Marco Rubio and other U.S. officials voiced doubts about Iran's commitment to the memorandum of understanding, reflecting internal U.S. skepticism. This caused a decline in market confidence for Rubio as a potential signatory.
Jun 16 2026
Saudi Cabinet chaired by Mohammed bin Salman welcomes US-Iran agreement
Mohammed bin Salman plunges to 5%41%
Saudi Arabia's official support for the US-Iran deal slightly increased market confidence in Mohammed bin Salman as a potential signatory.
Jun 16 2026
Qatar Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani and U.S. President Trump discuss regional tensions and diplomatic efforts
Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani plunges to 25%20%
Qatari Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani and U.S. President Donald Trump discussed regional developments and efforts to maintain peace and security, including support for diplomatic efforts led by Pakistan to prevent escalation between the U.S. and Iran. This reinforced market confidence in Sheikh Tamim as a potential signatory.
Jun 15 2026
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu opposes U.S.-Iran deal, distances himself from signing
Benjamin Netanyahu plunges to 8%37%
Benjamin Netanyahu publicly opposed the U.S.-Iran peace deal, emphasizing Israel is not a signatory and distancing himself from Trump's decision to sign it. This opposition contributed to a decline in market confidence for Netanyahu as a potential signatory.
Jun 15 2026
U.S. Vice President JD Vance announces digital signing of U.S.-Iran memorandum
Abbas Araghchi plunges to 11%24%
JD Vance announced that the memorandum of understanding between the U.S. and Iran was digitally signed, confirming the deal's formalization. This event caused a sharp drop in confidence for Abbas Araghchi and Marco Rubio as signatories, while Ghalibaf's probability fluctuated.
Jun 15 2026
U.S. and Iran reach preliminary peace agreement, signing planned for Friday
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf plunges to 11%34%
A memorandum of understanding was announced to extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with signing scheduled, increasing market confidence in key signatories.
Jun 14 2026
U.S. and Iran reach preliminary peace deal, signing planned for June 19
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf surges to 90%39%
The U.S. and Iran announced a preliminary agreement to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with a signing ceremony scheduled in Switzerland. This boosted market confidence in Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf as the lead Iranian negotiator expected to sign the deal.
Jun 12 2026
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi signals deal with U.S. 'never been closer'
Abbas Araghchi surges to 82%37%
Araghchi's positive comments on the proximity of a deal boosted market optimism for his signing potential, though skepticism remained about final agreement details.
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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan
"Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 20 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Masoud Pezeshkian" di 100%, diikuti oleh "Shehbaz Sharif" di 100%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.
Per hari ini, "Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?" telah menghasilkan $971.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 11, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.
Untuk trading di "Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?," jelajahi 20 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.
Unggulan saat ini untuk "Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?" adalah "Masoud Pezeshkian" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Shehbaz Sharif" di 100%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.
Aturan resolusi untuk "Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.
Ya. Kamu tidak perlu trading untuk tetap terinformasi. Halaman ini berfungsi sebagai pelacak langsung untuk "Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?." Probabilitas hasil diperbarui secara real-time saat trade baru masuk. Kamu bisa menandai halaman ini dan memeriksa bagian komentar untuk melihat apa yang dikatakan trader lain. Kamu juga bisa menggunakan filter rentang waktu pada grafik untuk melihat bagaimana peluang bergeser seiring waktu. Ini jendela real-time gratis tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.
Peluang Polymarket ditetapkan oleh trader nyata yang menaruh uang nyata di balik keyakinan mereka, yang cenderung menghasilkan prediksi yang akurat. Dengan $971.4K diperdagangkan pada "Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?," harga-harga ini mengumpulkan pengetahuan dan keyakinan kolektif dari ribuan peserta — sering kali mengalahkan jajak pendapat, prakiraan ahli, dan survei tradisional. Pasar prediksi seperti Polymarket memiliki rekam jejak akurasi yang kuat, terutama saat event mendekati tanggal resolusinya. Misalnya, Polymarket memiliki skor akurasi satu bulan sebesar 94%. Untuk statistik terbaru tentang akurasi prediksi Polymarket, kunjungi halaman akurasi di Polymarket.
Untuk melakukan trade pertamamu di "Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?," daftar akun Polymarket gratis dan isi dengan crypto, kartu kredit atau debit, atau transfer bank. Setelah akunmu terisi, kembali ke halaman ini, pilih hasil yang ingin kamu trading, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu baru di pasar prediksi, klik link "Cara kerjanya" di bagian atas halaman Polymarket mana pun untuk panduan langkah demi langkah tentang cara trading.
Di Polymarket, harga setiap hasil mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Harga 100¢ untuk "Masoud Pezeshkian" di pasar "Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?" berarti trader secara kolektif percaya ada sekitar peluang 100% bahwa "Masoud Pezeshkian" akan menjadi hasil yang benar. Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" di 100¢ dan hasilnya benar, kamu menerima $1,00 per saham — keuntungan 0¢ per saham. Jika salah, saham tersebut bernilai $0.
Pasar "Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?" dijadwalkan diselesaikan pada atau sekitar Jul 31, 2026. Ini berarti trading akan tetap terbuka dan peluang akan terus bergeser saat informasi baru muncul sampai tanggal tersebut. Waktu resolusi tepat tergantung pada kapan hasil resmi tersedia, seperti diuraikan di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini.
Pasar "Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?" memiliki komunitas aktif dengan 48 komentar di mana trader berbagi analisis, memperdebatkan hasil, dan membahas perkembangan terkini. Scroll ke bawah ke bagian komentar untuk membaca apa yang dipikirkan peserta lain. Kamu juga bisa memfilter berdasarkan "Top Holder" untuk melihat posisi trader terbesar pasar, atau periksa tab "Aktivitas" untuk feed real-time dari trade.
Polymarket adalah pasar prediksi terbesar di dunia, di mana kamu bisa tetap terinformasi dan mendapatkan keuntungan dari pengetahuanmu tentang event dunia nyata. Trader membeli dan menjual saham pada hasil untuk topik mulai dari politik dan pemilu hingga crypto, keuangan, olahraga, teknologi, dan budaya, termasuk pasar seperti "Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?." Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time yang didukung oleh keyakinan finansial, sering kali memberikan sinyal yang lebih cepat dan lebih akurat daripada jajak pendapat, pakar, atau survei tradisional.
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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan