Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of authority through anti-corruption investigations has centered on the People’s Liberation Army, with the January 2026 probe into senior Central Military Commission figures such as Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli marking the latest escalation in a campaign that has removed more than 100 high-ranking officers since 2022. These actions have hollowed out the CMC’s leadership structure, leaving only minimal uniformed representation alongside Xi, and have continued through early 2026 removals of additional generals ahead of legislative sessions. Traders assess further 2026 targets by tracking loyalty signals, institutional vacancies, and preparations for the 2027 Party Congress, where Xi is expected to seek extended tenure. The pattern reflects a deliberate emphasis on political reliability over prior patronage networks, with any new disciplinary announcements likely to shift probabilities rapidly.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$157,138 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Dong Jun
9%
Wang Yi
7%
Zhang Shengmin
6%
Wang Huning
5%
Ding Xuexiang
5%
Zhao Leji
5%
Li Qiang
5%
Cai Qi
4%
Li Xi
1%
$157,138 Vol.
Dong Jun
$31,399 Vol.
9%
Wang Yi
$11,744 Vol.
7%
Zhang Shengmin
$19,809 Vol.
6%
Wang Huning
$10,085 Vol.
5%
Ding Xuexiang
$13,496 Vol.
5%
Zhao Leji
$6,881 Vol.
5%
Li Qiang
$5,513 Vol.
5%
Cai Qi
$33,828 Vol.
4%
Li Xi
$24,382 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of authority through anti-corruption investigations has centered on the People’s Liberation Army, with the January 2026 probe into senior Central Military Commission figures such as Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli marking the latest escalation in a campaign that has removed more than 100 high-ranking officers since 2022. These actions have hollowed out the CMC’s leadership structure, leaving only minimal uniformed representation alongside Xi, and have continued through early 2026 removals of additional generals ahead of legislative sessions. Traders assess further 2026 targets by tracking loyalty signals, institutional vacancies, and preparations for the 2027 Party Congress, where Xi is expected to seek extended tenure. The pattern reflects a deliberate emphasis on political reliability over prior patronage networks, with any new disciplinary announcements likely to shift probabilities rapidly.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$157,138Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of authority through anti-corruption investigations has centered on the People’s Liberation Army, with the January 2026 probe into senior Central Military Commission figures such as Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli marking the latest escalation in a campaign that has removed more than 100 high-ranking officers since 2022. These actions have hollowed out the CMC’s leadership structure, leaving only minimal uniformed representation alongside Xi, and have continued through early 2026 removals of additional generals ahead of legislative sessions. Traders assess further 2026 targets by tracking loyalty signals, institutional vacancies, and preparations for the 2027 Party Congress, where Xi is expected to seek extended tenure. The pattern reflects a deliberate emphasis on political reliability over prior patronage networks, with any new disciplinary announcements likely to shift probabilities rapidly.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$157,138Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of authority through anti-corruption investigations has centered on the People’s Liberation Army, with the January 2026 probe into senior Central Military Commission figures such as Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli marking the latest escalation in a campaign that has removed more than 100 high-ranking officers since 2022. These actions have hollowed out the CMC’s leadership structure, leaving only minimal uniformed representation alongside Xi, and have continued through early 2026 removals of additional generals ahead of legislative sessions. Traders assess further 2026 targets by tracking loyalty signals, institutional vacancies, and preparations for the 2027 Party Congress, where Xi is expected to seek extended tenure. The pattern reflects a deliberate emphasis on political reliability over prior patronage networks, with any new disciplinary announcements likely to shift probabilities rapidly.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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