**Zhang Youxia, former first-ranked vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for suspected serious violations of discipline and law, with reports citing corruption, abuse of authority, and possible leaks of nuclear-related information.** He disappeared from public view after late 2025 and was detained around mid-January 2026, marking one of the highest-profile removals in Xi Jinping’s ongoing military anti-corruption drive. As of mid-August 2026, official announcements have not reported a formal trial, conviction, or sentencing. In China’s opaque system for senior PLA and party figures, investigations often extend for months or years before any public resolution, and many cases conclude without detailed public sentencing. Traders assign “No” a 90.5% implied probability because the remaining timeline to end-2026 offers limited room for the full legal process to reach a documented prison sentence, despite the investigation’s severity and historical patterns of eventual punishment for such cases. No newer public developments have shifted this assessment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui10% peluang
$157,017 Vol.
$157,017 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
10% peluang
$157,017 Vol.
$157,017 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Zhang Youxia, former first-ranked vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for suspected serious violations of discipline and law, with reports citing corruption, abuse of authority, and possible leaks of nuclear-related information.** He disappeared from public view after late 2025 and was detained around mid-January 2026, marking one of the highest-profile removals in Xi Jinping’s ongoing military anti-corruption drive.
As of mid-August 2026, official announcements have not reported a formal trial, conviction, or sentencing. In China’s opaque system for senior PLA and party figures, investigations often extend for months or years before any public resolution, and many cases conclude without detailed public sentencing. Traders assign “No” a 90.5% implied probability because the remaining timeline to end-2026 offers limited room for the full legal process to reach a documented prison sentence, despite the investigation’s severity and historical patterns of eventual punishment for such cases. No newer public developments have shifted this assessment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Volume
$157,017Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Zhang Youxia, former first-ranked vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for suspected serious violations of discipline and law, with reports citing corruption, abuse of authority, and possible leaks of nuclear-related information.** He disappeared from public view after late 2025 and was detained around mid-January 2026, marking one of the highest-profile removals in Xi Jinping’s ongoing military anti-corruption drive.
As of mid-August 2026, official announcements have not reported a formal trial, conviction, or sentencing. In China’s opaque system for senior PLA and party figures, investigations often extend for months or years before any public resolution, and many cases conclude without detailed public sentencing. Traders assign “No” a 90.5% implied probability because the remaining timeline to end-2026 offers limited room for the full legal process to reach a documented prison sentence, despite the investigation’s severity and historical patterns of eventual punishment for such cases. No newer public developments have shifted this assessment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$157,017Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Zhang Youxia, former first-ranked vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026 for suspected serious violations of discipline and law, with reports citing corruption, abuse of authority, and possible leaks of nuclear-related information.** He disappeared from public view after late 2025 and was detained around mid-January 2026, marking one of the highest-profile removals in Xi Jinping’s ongoing military anti-corruption drive. As of mid-August 2026, official announcements have not reported a formal trial, conviction, or sentencing. In China’s opaque system for senior PLA and party figures, investigations often extend for months or years before any public resolution, and many cases conclude without detailed public sentencing. Traders assign “No” a 90.5% implied probability because the remaining timeline to end-2026 offers limited room for the full legal process to reach a documented prison sentence, despite the investigation’s severity and historical patterns of eventual punishment for such cases. No newer public developments have shifted this assessment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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