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icon for Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?
Politik·Immigration

Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?

icon for Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?
Politik·Immigration

Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?

$33,687 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$33,687 Vol.

Polymarket

4800+

$10,339 Vol.

1%

4900+

$16,346 Vol.

1%

5000+

$7,002 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/. If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.**ICE enforcement operations in New York City have expanded notably since President Trump’s second term began in January 2025, with federal data showing 5,567 immigration arrests in the NYC area through mid-March 2026—a 71% increase over the prior comparable period.** Roughly half occurred at the 26 Federal Plaza immigration court, reflecting a strategy of targeted operations against individuals with criminal records or removal orders. Key recent developments include a May 2026 federal court order limiting arrests at Manhattan immigration courthouses except in exceptional circumstances, alongside persistent NYC sanctuary policies that restrict local agencies from honoring ICE detainers or sharing information. These factors have shaped enforcement pace and tactics. Upstate New York has also recorded elevated activity, but New York City remains the focal point for volume. With the June 30 resolution date now less than two weeks away, trader consensus (reflected in current market pricing) incorporates the impact of judicial constraints, ongoing local non-cooperation, and the compressed remaining timeframe for additional arrests to accumulate toward the threshold. Scheduled enforcement actions or any further legal rulings in the interim represent the primary variables that could still influence the outcome.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/.

If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.
Volume
$33,687
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 28, 2026, 9:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/. If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/. If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.**ICE enforcement operations in New York City have expanded notably since President Trump’s second term began in January 2025, with federal data showing 5,567 immigration arrests in the NYC area through mid-March 2026—a 71% increase over the prior comparable period.** Roughly half occurred at the 26 Federal Plaza immigration court, reflecting a strategy of targeted operations against individuals with criminal records or removal orders. Key recent developments include a May 2026 federal court order limiting arrests at Manhattan immigration courthouses except in exceptional circumstances, alongside persistent NYC sanctuary policies that restrict local agencies from honoring ICE detainers or sharing information. These factors have shaped enforcement pace and tactics. Upstate New York has also recorded elevated activity, but New York City remains the focal point for volume. With the June 30 resolution date now less than two weeks away, trader consensus (reflected in current market pricing) incorporates the impact of judicial constraints, ongoing local non-cooperation, and the compressed remaining timeframe for additional arrests to accumulate toward the threshold. Scheduled enforcement actions or any further legal rulings in the interim represent the primary variables that could still influence the outcome.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/.

If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.
Volume
$33,687
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 28, 2026, 9:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/. If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "4800+" di 1%, diikuti oleh "4900+" di 1%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 1¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 1% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?" telah menghasilkan $33.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 28, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Ini adalah pasar yang sangat terbuka. Pemimpin saat ini untuk "Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?" adalah "4800+" di hanya 1%, dengan "4900+" mengejar ketat di 1%. Tanpa hasil yang menguasai mayoritas kuat, trader melihat ini sebagai sangat tidak pasti, yang bisa menghadirkan peluang trading unik. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time, jadi tandai halaman ini untuk menyaksikan bagaimana probabilitas berkembang.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.