Carlos Alcaraz’s ongoing right wrist injury, sustained in April and forcing withdrawals from the Barcelona Open second round onward, remains the dominant factor shaping the 60.5% implied probability he will appear at the 2026 US Open. The defending champion has not contested a match since then, skipping Roland Garros, Wimbledon, Montreal, and the Cincinnati Masters 1000, where he pulled out days before the event to prioritize recovery. While Alcaraz remains on the official entry list and has targeted a hard-court return in New York, the extended four-month layoff and lack of recent competitive tennis on any surface introduce meaningful uncertainty around his fitness and readiness for best-of-five sets. Trader pricing reflects both his history of resilience and the caution evident in recent roster decisions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui61% peluang
$13,291 Vol.
$13,291 Vol.
61% peluang
$13,291 Vol.
$13,291 Vol.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz’s ongoing right wrist injury, sustained in April and forcing withdrawals from the Barcelona Open second round onward, remains the dominant factor shaping the 60.5% implied probability he will appear at the 2026 US Open. The defending champion has not contested a match since then, skipping Roland Garros, Wimbledon, Montreal, and the Cincinnati Masters 1000, where he pulled out days before the event to prioritize recovery. While Alcaraz remains on the official entry list and has targeted a hard-court return in New York, the extended four-month layoff and lack of recent competitive tennis on any surface introduce meaningful uncertainty around his fitness and readiness for best-of-five sets. Trader pricing reflects both his history of resilience and the caution evident in recent roster decisions.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$13,291Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz’s ongoing right wrist injury, sustained in April and forcing withdrawals from the Barcelona Open second round onward, remains the dominant factor shaping the 60.5% implied probability he will appear at the 2026 US Open. The defending champion has not contested a match since then, skipping Roland Garros, Wimbledon, Montreal, and the Cincinnati Masters 1000, where he pulled out days before the event to prioritize recovery. While Alcaraz remains on the official entry list and has targeted a hard-court return in New York, the extended four-month layoff and lack of recent competitive tennis on any surface introduce meaningful uncertainty around his fitness and readiness for best-of-five sets. Trader pricing reflects both his history of resilience and the caution evident in recent roster decisions.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,291Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Carlos Alcaraz’s ongoing right wrist injury, sustained in April and forcing withdrawals from the Barcelona Open second round onward, remains the dominant factor shaping the 60.5% implied probability he will appear at the 2026 US Open. The defending champion has not contested a match since then, skipping Roland Garros, Wimbledon, Montreal, and the Cincinnati Masters 1000, where he pulled out days before the event to prioritize recovery. While Alcaraz remains on the official entry list and has targeted a hard-court return in New York, the extended four-month layoff and lack of recent competitive tennis on any surface introduce meaningful uncertainty around his fitness and readiness for best-of-five sets. Trader pricing reflects both his history of resilience and the caution evident in recent roster decisions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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