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Olahraga·Piala Dunia FIFA 2026

Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

icon for Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
Olahraga·Piala Dunia FIFA 2026

Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

99% peluang
Polymarket

$570,278 Vol.

99% peluang
Polymarket

$570,278 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran qualified for the 2026 FIFA World Cup through AFC third-round play in March 2025 and has maintained its spot amid regional tensions. FIFA has repeatedly confirmed participation, with the team securing U.S. visas, finalizing its squad, and arranging a base camp in Tijuana, Mexico, to facilitate travel for group-stage matches in Los Angeles and Seattle. These steps, combined with the absence of any formal withdrawal by Iranian football authorities despite earlier diplomatic friction and security concerns tied to Middle East hostilities, underpin the near-certain trader consensus. Remaining variables include potential last-minute escalations in conflict or unforeseen logistical barriers that could prompt a sudden pullout before the June 15 opener.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$570,278
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 24, 2026, 12:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran qualified for the 2026 FIFA World Cup through AFC third-round play in March 2025 and has maintained its spot amid regional tensions. FIFA has repeatedly confirmed participation, with the team securing U.S. visas, finalizing its squad, and arranging a base camp in Tijuana, Mexico, to facilitate travel for group-stage matches in Los Angeles and Seattle. These steps, combined with the absence of any formal withdrawal by Iranian football authorities despite earlier diplomatic friction and security concerns tied to Middle East hostilities, underpin the near-certain trader consensus. Remaining variables include potential last-minute escalations in conflict or unforeseen logistical barriers that could prompt a sudden pullout before the June 15 opener.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$570,359
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 24, 2026, 12:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will Iran Play in the World Cup?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 99% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 99¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 99% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Will Iran Play in the World Cup?" telah menghasilkan $570.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 24, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Will Iran Play in the World Cup?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will Iran Play in the World Cup?" adalah 99% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 99% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will Iran Play in the World Cup?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.