Louisiana state Treasurer John Fleming advanced to the June 27 Republican runoff for the U.S. Senate seat against Representative Julia Letlow after finishing second in the May 16 primary. Traders see an 88.5 percent chance he stays in the race because Fleming has repeatedly declined job offers from Trump administration officials, including a reported CDC deputy director position, and continues self-funding his campaign while highlighting his experience as a former representative and state treasurer. Recent attacks from Letlow’s supporters and calls from Trump allies to exit have not altered his public stance, with no new developments indicating an imminent withdrawal before the runoff vote.