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Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?

icon for Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?

Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?

<1% peluang
Polymarket

$5,126 Vol.

<1% peluang
Polymarket

$5,126 Vol.

If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The UK Home Office's April 2026 decision to revoke Ye's Electronic Travel Authorisation on public-good grounds, citing his history of antisemitic statements, remains the dominant factor behind the 99.8% market-implied probability of "No." That official ban directly canceled his planned Wireless Festival headline slot and shows no signs of reversal, with his current 2026 tour itinerary focused on U.S. and select non-UK European dates. Traders view the short window to June 30 as insufficient for any policy shift or successful legal challenge. While an unexpected diplomatic intervention or sudden ban lift could theoretically allow entry, such developments lack any verified momentum or precedent in similar cases.

If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$5,126
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 7, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The UK Home Office's April 2026 decision to revoke Ye's Electronic Travel Authorisation on public-good grounds, citing his history of antisemitic statements, remains the dominant factor behind the 99.8% market-implied probability of "No." That official ban directly canceled his planned Wireless Festival headline slot and shows no signs of reversal, with his current 2026 tour itinerary focused on U.S. and select non-UK European dates. Traders view the short window to June 30 as insufficient for any policy shift or successful legal challenge. While an unexpected diplomatic intervention or sudden ban lift could theoretically allow entry, such developments lack any verified momentum or precedent in similar cases.

If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$5,126
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 7, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 0% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 0¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 0% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Apr 7, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?" adalah 0% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 0% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.