Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) will not capture Khartoum by June 30, driven by the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital and central Sudan since recapturing it in mid-2025, as confirmed by territorial maps through May 10. A military impasse persists into the war's fourth year, with RSF entrenched in Darfur and western regions but mounting only drone strikes on Khartoum—such as attacks on May 2–5 killing civilians—rather than ground advances. SAF has even reversed recent RSF gains elsewhere, like Al-Keili. Realistic shifts would require an improbable rapid RSF offensive, SAF collapse, or external intervention amid ongoing stalemate.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWill the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?
Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?
$21,635 Vol.
$21,635 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$21,635 Vol.
$21,635 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) will not capture Khartoum by June 30, driven by the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital and central Sudan since recapturing it in mid-2025, as confirmed by territorial maps through May 10. A military impasse persists into the war's fourth year, with RSF entrenched in Darfur and western regions but mounting only drone strikes on Khartoum—such as attacks on May 2–5 killing civilians—rather than ground advances. SAF has even reversed recent RSF gains elsewhere, like Al-Keili. Realistic shifts would require an improbable rapid RSF offensive, SAF collapse, or external intervention amid ongoing stalemate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ET
Volume
$21,635Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) will not capture Khartoum by June 30, driven by the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital and central Sudan since recapturing it in mid-2025, as confirmed by territorial maps through May 10. A military impasse persists into the war's fourth year, with RSF entrenched in Darfur and western regions but mounting only drone strikes on Khartoum—such as attacks on May 2–5 killing civilians—rather than ground advances. SAF has even reversed recent RSF gains elsewhere, like Al-Keili. Realistic shifts would require an improbable rapid RSF offensive, SAF collapse, or external intervention amid ongoing stalemate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
Volume
$21,635Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) will not capture Khartoum by June 30, driven by the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital and central Sudan since recapturing it in mid-2025, as confirmed by territorial maps through May 10. A military impasse persists into the war's fourth year, with RSF entrenched in Darfur and western regions but mounting only drone strikes on Khartoum—such as attacks on May 2–5 killing civilians—rather than ground advances. SAF has even reversed recent RSF gains elsewhere, like Al-Keili. Realistic shifts would require an improbable rapid RSF offensive, SAF collapse, or external intervention amid ongoing stalemate.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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