Ongoing diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran, mediated primarily by Pakistan, continue to shape prospects for any formal congressional declaration of war. A conditional ceasefire established in early April 2026 has held with limited exceptions, following U.S. and Israeli strikes that began in February and targeted Iranian nuclear and military sites. Recent exchanges of proposals address Iran’s enrichment capabilities, sanctions relief, and access through the Strait of Hormuz, though both sides have rejected initial drafts. President Trump has notified Congress that hostilities ended as of May 1, consistent with the War Powers Resolution timeline, while intermittent naval incidents and Iranian conditions for renewed talks underscore persistent tensions. Upcoming proposal reviews and any escalation in Strait disruptions could influence the trajectory toward de-escalation or renewed military measures.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiApakah AS akan secara resmi menyatakan perang terhadap Iran dengan...?
Apakah AS akan secara resmi menyatakan perang terhadap Iran dengan...?
$7,523,614 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
31 Desember
7%
$7,523,614 Vol.
31 Desember
$550,980 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran, mediated primarily by Pakistan, continue to shape prospects for any formal congressional declaration of war. A conditional ceasefire established in early April 2026 has held with limited exceptions, following U.S. and Israeli strikes that began in February and targeted Iranian nuclear and military sites. Recent exchanges of proposals address Iran’s enrichment capabilities, sanctions relief, and access through the Strait of Hormuz, though both sides have rejected initial drafts. President Trump has notified Congress that hostilities ended as of May 1, consistent with the War Powers Resolution timeline, while intermittent naval incidents and Iranian conditions for renewed talks underscore persistent tensions. Upcoming proposal reviews and any escalation in Strait disruptions could influence the trajectory toward de-escalation or renewed military measures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Volume
$7,523,614Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran, mediated primarily by Pakistan, continue to shape prospects for any formal congressional declaration of war. A conditional ceasefire established in early April 2026 has held with limited exceptions, following U.S. and Israeli strikes that began in February and targeted Iranian nuclear and military sites. Recent exchanges of proposals address Iran’s enrichment capabilities, sanctions relief, and access through the Strait of Hormuz, though both sides have rejected initial drafts. President Trump has notified Congress that hostilities ended as of May 1, consistent with the War Powers Resolution timeline, while intermittent naval incidents and Iranian conditions for renewed talks underscore persistent tensions. Upcoming proposal reviews and any escalation in Strait disruptions could influence the trajectory toward de-escalation or renewed military measures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,523,614Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran, mediated primarily by Pakistan, continue to shape prospects for any formal congressional declaration of war. A conditional ceasefire established in early April 2026 has held with limited exceptions, following U.S. and Israeli strikes that began in February and targeted Iranian nuclear and military sites. Recent exchanges of proposals address Iran’s enrichment capabilities, sanctions relief, and access through the Strait of Hormuz, though both sides have rejected initial drafts. President Trump has notified Congress that hostilities ended as of May 1, consistent with the War Powers Resolution timeline, while intermittent naval incidents and Iranian conditions for renewed talks underscore persistent tensions. Upcoming proposal reviews and any escalation in Strait disruptions could influence the trajectory toward de-escalation or renewed military measures.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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