Skip to main content

Untuk trading di AS, kunjungi polymarket.us

icon for Apakah Trump akan memaafkan Ghislaine Maxwell pada akhir 2026?

Apakah Trump akan memaafkan Ghislaine Maxwell pada akhir 2026?

icon for Apakah Trump akan memaafkan Ghislaine Maxwell pada akhir 2026?

Apakah Trump akan memaafkan Ghislaine Maxwell pada akhir 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

Ya

5% peluang
Polymarket

$759,333 Vol.

Ya

5% peluang
Polymarket

$759,333 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus against a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026 reflects sustained bipartisan opposition, explicit administration signals, and substantial political costs tied to her 2021 federal sex-trafficking conviction linked to Jeffrey Epstein. The Senate unanimously approved a resolution in July 2026 opposing clemency, while Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche stated in May he would not recommend one. Trump has repeatedly described the matter as something he has not considered, though he has not ruled it out, and the White House has indicated it is not under active review. Maxwell’s appeals have been exhausted following an August 2026 court rejection of her habeas petition. With limited time remaining, realistic shifts would require an abrupt change in presidential priorities, new developments altering the political calculus, or unforeseen legal or health factors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$759,333
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus against a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026 reflects sustained bipartisan opposition, explicit administration signals, and substantial political costs tied to her 2021 federal sex-trafficking conviction linked to Jeffrey Epstein. The Senate unanimously approved a resolution in July 2026 opposing clemency, while Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche stated in May he would not recommend one. Trump has repeatedly described the matter as something he has not considered, though he has not ruled it out, and the White House has indicated it is not under active review. Maxwell’s appeals have been exhausted following an August 2026 court rejection of her habeas petition. With limited time remaining, realistic shifts would require an abrupt change in presidential priorities, new developments altering the political calculus, or unforeseen legal or health factors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$759,333
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Apakah Trump akan memaafkan Ghislaine Maxwell pada akhir 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Apakah Trump akan memberikan grasi kepada Ghislaine Maxwell sebelum akhir tahun 2026?" di 5%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 5¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 5% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Apakah Trump akan memaafkan Ghislaine Maxwell pada akhir 2026?" telah menghasilkan $759.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 23, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Apakah Trump akan memaafkan Ghislaine Maxwell pada akhir 2026?," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Ini adalah pasar yang sangat terbuka. Pemimpin saat ini untuk "Apakah Trump akan memaafkan Ghislaine Maxwell pada akhir 2026?" adalah "Apakah Trump akan memberikan grasi kepada Ghislaine Maxwell sebelum akhir tahun 2026?" di hanya 5%. Tanpa hasil yang menguasai mayoritas kuat, trader melihat ini sebagai sangat tidak pasti, yang bisa menghadirkan peluang trading unik. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time, jadi tandai halaman ini untuk menyaksikan bagaimana probabilitas berkembang.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Apakah Trump akan memaafkan Ghislaine Maxwell pada akhir 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.