Trader consensus prices a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell—who is serving a 20-year federal sentence for sex trafficking tied to Jeffrey Epstein—at just 9.5% by year-end, reflecting no official White House action 16 months into the administration despite speculation. Recent House Oversight Committee hearings, including Epstein survivor testimonies in Palm Beach this week, have intensified scrutiny and partisan divides, with Democrats decrying Republican clemency talk while only a minority of GOP members oppose it outright. Maxwell's lawyer publicly hopes for a deal enabling her cooperation on Epstein files, but Trump's October 2025 comment on "looking into" it yielded no movement amid backlash risks, even as mass pardons loom for America's 250th anniversary. Late scandals or diplomatic shifts could still alter dynamics before resolution.
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$552,038 Vol.
$552,038 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Ya
$552,038 Vol.
$552,038 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell—who is serving a 20-year federal sentence for sex trafficking tied to Jeffrey Epstein—at just 9.5% by year-end, reflecting no official White House action 16 months into the administration despite speculation. Recent House Oversight Committee hearings, including Epstein survivor testimonies in Palm Beach this week, have intensified scrutiny and partisan divides, with Democrats decrying Republican clemency talk while only a minority of GOP members oppose it outright. Maxwell's lawyer publicly hopes for a deal enabling her cooperation on Epstein files, but Trump's October 2025 comment on "looking into" it yielded no movement amid backlash risks, even as mass pardons loom for America's 250th anniversary. Late scandals or diplomatic shifts could still alter dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
Volume
$552,038Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell—who is serving a 20-year federal sentence for sex trafficking tied to Jeffrey Epstein—at just 9.5% by year-end, reflecting no official White House action 16 months into the administration despite speculation. Recent House Oversight Committee hearings, including Epstein survivor testimonies in Palm Beach this week, have intensified scrutiny and partisan divides, with Democrats decrying Republican clemency talk while only a minority of GOP members oppose it outright. Maxwell's lawyer publicly hopes for a deal enabling her cooperation on Epstein files, but Trump's October 2025 comment on "looking into" it yielded no movement amid backlash risks, even as mass pardons loom for America's 250th anniversary. Late scandals or diplomatic shifts could still alter dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$552,038Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Trader consensus prices a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell—who is serving a 20-year federal sentence for sex trafficking tied to Jeffrey Epstein—at just 9.5% by year-end, reflecting no official White House action 16 months into the administration despite speculation. Recent House Oversight Committee hearings, including Epstein survivor testimonies in Palm Beach this week, have intensified scrutiny and partisan divides, with Democrats decrying Republican clemency talk while only a minority of GOP members oppose it outright. Maxwell's lawyer publicly hopes for a deal enabling her cooperation on Epstein files, but Trump's October 2025 comment on "looking into" it yielded no movement amid backlash risks, even as mass pardons loom for America's 250th anniversary. Late scandals or diplomatic shifts could still alter dynamics before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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