Traders assign a 97.8% implied probability that Jeffrey Epstein will not be confirmed alive before 2027 because official records establish his death by suicide in August 2019, with the medical examiner’s ruling, autopsy details, and subsequent burial unchallenged by any verified evidence since. No credible primary-source developments—such as DNA matches, official sightings, or institutional announcements—have emerged in the intervening years to reopen the case. The near-term resolution window through the end of 2026 further reduces the scope for unexpected confirmation. While late-breaking legal disclosures, authenticated physical evidence, or a verified public appearance could theoretically alter the outcome, the absence of any such indicators in recent months supports the current market consensus.