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World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?

icon for World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?
Olahraga·Sepak Bola

World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?

88% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
88% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a hat trick in any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A hat trick is defined as a single player scoring three or more goals in a single match. Goals scored in regular time, stoppage time, and extra time count. Goals scored by way of penalty kick during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count toward the total. Own goals and penalty shootout goals do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear whether a player recorded a hat trick within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No” The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup format, featuring 48 teams and a record 104 matches across group and knockout stages, creates numerous opportunities for hat-tricks, particularly in group-stage mismatches against lower-ranked sides. Historical precedent supports elevated likelihood, with 54 hat-tricks recorded across prior tournaments and just one edition (2006) producing none. Recent standouts like Kylian Mbappé’s treble in the 2022 final underscore the presence of elite forwards capable of exploiting favorable matchups, while the increased volume of fixtures compared to the 64-game 32-team era amplifies variance in scoring outcomes. Trader consensus at 87.5% implied probability for Yes aligns with this structural expansion and consistent past frequency.

This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a hat trick in any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A hat trick is defined as a single player scoring three or more goals in a single match. Goals scored in regular time, stoppage time, and extra time count. Goals scored by way of penalty kick during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count toward the total. Own goals and penalty
shootout goals do not count.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear whether a player recorded a hat trick within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,646
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 8, 2026, 11:55 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a hat trick in any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A hat trick is defined as a single player scoring three or more goals in a single match. Goals scored in regular time, stoppage time, and extra time count. Goals scored by way of penalty kick during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count toward the total. Own goals and penalty shootout goals do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear whether a player recorded a hat trick within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No” The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a hat trick in any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A hat trick is defined as a single player scoring three or more goals in a single match. Goals scored in regular time, stoppage time, and extra time count. Goals scored by way of penalty kick during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count toward the total. Own goals and penalty shootout goals do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear whether a player recorded a hat trick within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No” The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup format, featuring 48 teams and a record 104 matches across group and knockout stages, creates numerous opportunities for hat-tricks, particularly in group-stage mismatches against lower-ranked sides. Historical precedent supports elevated likelihood, with 54 hat-tricks recorded across prior tournaments and just one edition (2006) producing none. Recent standouts like Kylian Mbappé’s treble in the 2022 final underscore the presence of elite forwards capable of exploiting favorable matchups, while the increased volume of fixtures compared to the 64-game 32-team era amplifies variance in scoring outcomes. Trader consensus at 87.5% implied probability for Yes aligns with this structural expansion and consistent past frequency.

This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a hat trick in any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A hat trick is defined as a single player scoring three or more goals in a single match. Goals scored in regular time, stoppage time, and extra time count. Goals scored by way of penalty kick during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count toward the total. Own goals and penalty
shootout goals do not count.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear whether a player recorded a hat trick within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,646
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 8, 2026, 11:55 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a hat trick in any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A hat trick is defined as a single player scoring three or more goals in a single match. Goals scored in regular time, stoppage time, and extra time count. Goals scored by way of penalty kick during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count toward the total. Own goals and penalty shootout goals do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear whether a player recorded a hat trick within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No” The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 88% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 88¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 88% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jun 8, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?" adalah 88% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 88% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.