Spain edges the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 17% implied probability, just ahead of France, because of La Rojaβs Euro 2024 title, continued Nations League success, and a balanced squad featuring Lamine Yamal alongside established midfield control. France sits close behind on similar depth and Kylian MbappΓ©βs proven knockout pedigree, while England and Portugal cluster near 11% on consistent qualifying form and star attacking options. Argentina and Brazil follow on defending-champion pedigree and traditional talent pools. The tight spread among the top six reflects comparable squad quality, limited recent head-to-head separation, and the expanded 48-team format that still favors elite European depth over any single standout side, with fitness updates around key attackers the main near-term variable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. Β· DiperbaruiWorld Cup Winner
World Cup Winner
SpanyolΒ 17.0%
PrancisΒ 16.1%
InggrisΒ 10.8%
PortugalΒ 10.8%
$1,966,014,477 Vol.
$1,966,014,477 Vol.
Spanyol
17%
Prancis
16%
Inggris
11%
Portugal
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
9%
Jerman
5%
Belanda
4%
Norwegia
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolombia
2%
Jepang
2%
Maroko
2%
Meksiko
1%
Swiss
1%
Amerika Serikat
1%
Turki
1%
Uruguay
1%
Ekuador
1%
Croatia
1%
Senegal
1%
Pantai Gading
<1%
Austria
<1%
Kanada
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Korea Selatan
<1%
Skotlandia
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Aljazair
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Kongo DR
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Selandia Baru
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Yordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrika Selatan
<1%
Tanjung Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
SpanyolΒ 17.0%
PrancisΒ 16.1%
InggrisΒ 10.8%
PortugalΒ 10.8%
$1,966,014,477 Vol.
$1,966,014,477 Vol.
Spanyol
17%
Prancis
16%
Inggris
11%
Portugal
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
9%
Jerman
5%
Belanda
4%
Norwegia
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolombia
2%
Jepang
2%
Maroko
2%
Meksiko
1%
Swiss
1%
Amerika Serikat
1%
Turki
1%
Uruguay
1%
Ekuador
1%
Croatia
1%
Senegal
1%
Pantai Gading
<1%
Austria
<1%
Kanada
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Korea Selatan
<1%
Skotlandia
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Aljazair
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Kongo DR
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Selandia Baru
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Yordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrika Selatan
<1%
Tanjung Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to βNoβ.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to βOtherβ.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to βNoβ.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to βOtherβ.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain edges the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 17% implied probability, just ahead of France, because of La Rojaβs Euro 2024 title, continued Nations League success, and a balanced squad featuring Lamine Yamal alongside established midfield control. France sits close behind on similar depth and Kylian MbappΓ©βs proven knockout pedigree, while England and Portugal cluster near 11% on consistent qualifying form and star attacking options. Argentina and Brazil follow on defending-champion pedigree and traditional talent pools. The tight spread among the top six reflects comparable squad quality, limited recent head-to-head separation, and the expanded 48-team format that still favors elite European depth over any single standout side, with fitness updates around key attackers the main near-term variable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. Β· Diperbarui
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