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Pemilihan Umum·Wali Kota NYC

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

icon for Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
Pemilihan Umum·Wali Kota NYC

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

1% peluang
Polymarket

$25,114 Vol.

1% peluang
Polymarket

$25,114 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 98.6% for Zohran Mamdani's citizenship revocation before 2027, reflecting the extraordinarily high legal bar for denaturalization of his 2018 naturalized status and the absence of any Department of Justice or USCIS proceedings despite repeated Republican calls. House members like Reps. Andy Ogles and Chip Roy urged Attorney General Pam Bondi to probe alleged naturalization fraud tied to Mamdani's pre-citizenship pro-Palestinian activism and rap lyrics, while recent escalations include Sen. Rick Scott's May 13 letter demanding DOJ investigation into Mamdani's administration over rising antisemitic incidents in New York City. No federal court filings or indictments have materialized in over six months, underscoring denaturalization's rarity—fewer than 100 cases annually—and procedural timelines that preclude resolution by year-end absent late-breaking evidence of willful material misrepresentation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$25,114
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 1:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 98.6% for Zohran Mamdani's citizenship revocation before 2027, reflecting the extraordinarily high legal bar for denaturalization of his 2018 naturalized status and the absence of any Department of Justice or USCIS proceedings despite repeated Republican calls. House members like Reps. Andy Ogles and Chip Roy urged Attorney General Pam Bondi to probe alleged naturalization fraud tied to Mamdani's pre-citizenship pro-Palestinian activism and rap lyrics, while recent escalations include Sen. Rick Scott's May 13 letter demanding DOJ investigation into Mamdani's administration over rising antisemitic incidents in New York City. No federal court filings or indictments have materialized in over six months, underscoring denaturalization's rarity—fewer than 100 cases annually—and procedural timelines that preclude resolution by year-end absent late-breaking evidence of willful material misrepresentation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$25,114
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 1:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 1% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 1¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 1% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?" telah menghasilkan $25.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 5, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?" adalah 1% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 1% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.