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icon for 100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?

100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?

icon for 100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?

100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?

giu 30

giu 30

18% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
18% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 84.5% implied probability for any MrBeast main-channel video hitting 100 million views in its first week by June 30, driven by recent uploads consistently falling short of that benchmark. The April 4 "50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000" reached about 58 million by day three and stabilized around 80-90 million in week one per tracking data, while the May 2 "I Stranded 100 People In The Wilderness For $250,000" hit roughly 88-91 million total by day nine, implying sub-90 million first-week performance. Day-one views hover at 35-40 million amid YouTube algorithm shifts and competition from viral shorts, with no signs of a format pivot to reignite explosive growth. Upcoming uploads could shift odds if they debut massive stunts, but historical trajectories favor the under.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.
Volume
$520
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 6:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 84.5% implied probability for any MrBeast main-channel video hitting 100 million views in its first week by June 30, driven by recent uploads consistently falling short of that benchmark. The April 4 "50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000" reached about 58 million by day three and stabilized around 80-90 million in week one per tracking data, while the May 2 "I Stranded 100 People In The Wilderness For $250,000" hit roughly 88-91 million total by day nine, implying sub-90 million first-week performance. Day-one views hover at 35-40 million amid YouTube algorithm shifts and competition from viral shorts, with no signs of a format pivot to reignite explosive growth. Upcoming uploads could shift odds if they debut massive stunts, but historical trajectories favor the under.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.
Volume
$520
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 6:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.

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Domande frequenti

"100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 18% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 18¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 18% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Apr 28, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?" è 18% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 18% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.