Kimi Antonelli’s three Grand Prix victories from the opening poles, including a hard-fought Miami win that extended his 20-point lead in the drivers’ standings over teammate George Russell, underpin the current 38% implied probability. The Mercedes duo’s front-row lockouts and consistent points hauls have narrowed the early title race to an intra-team contest, keeping Russell at 30% as the season’s remaining schedule offers ample opportunity for recovery. Lando Norris sits third at 11.6% on the strength of McLaren’s recent pace, while Max Verstappen and Oscar Piastri trail further back amid shifting constructor dynamics and the long haul of remaining rounds still ahead.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKimi Antonelli 38.1%
George Russell 31%
Lando Norris 11.6%
Max Verstappen 6.2%
$150,030,374 Vol.
$150,030,374 Vol.
6 dic 2026
Kimi Antonelli
38%
George Russell
31%
Lando Norris
12%
Max Verstappen
6%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Charles Leclerc
5%
Lewis Hamilton
2%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 38.1%
George Russell 31%
Lando Norris 11.6%
Max Verstappen 6.2%
$150,030,374 Vol.
$150,030,374 Vol.
6 dic 2026
Kimi Antonelli
$3,045,857 Vol.
38%
George Russell
$1,762,546 Vol.
31%
Lando Norris
$2,160,510 Vol.
12%
Max Verstappen
$2,010,607 Vol.
6%
Oscar Piastri
$1,797,111 Vol.
5%
Charles Leclerc
$2,865,658 Vol.
5%
Lewis Hamilton
$3,812,650 Vol.
2%
Fernando Alonso
$7,053,297 Vol.
<1%
Esteban Ocon
$7,586,546 Vol.
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
$6,548,362 Vol.
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
$10,009,644 Vol.
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
$9,023,701 Vol.
<1%
Franco Colapinto
$10,226,316 Vol.
<1%
Alexander Albon
$9,805,986 Vol.
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
$10,310,556 Vol.
<1%
Pierre Gasly
$8,828,060 Vol.
<1%
Liam Lawson
$9,227,991 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
$8,731,326 Vol.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
$8,688,131 Vol.
<1%
Isack Hadjar
$6,849,859 Vol.
<1%
Lance Stroll
$9,734,407 Vol.
<1%
Oliver Bearman
$9,951,889 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli’s three Grand Prix victories from the opening poles, including a hard-fought Miami win that extended his 20-point lead in the drivers’ standings over teammate George Russell, underpin the current 38% implied probability. The Mercedes duo’s front-row lockouts and consistent points hauls have narrowed the early title race to an intra-team contest, keeping Russell at 30% as the season’s remaining schedule offers ample opportunity for recovery. Lando Norris sits third at 11.6% on the strength of McLaren’s recent pace, while Max Verstappen and Oscar Piastri trail further back amid shifting constructor dynamics and the long haul of remaining rounds still ahead.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Mercato aperto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Volume
$150,030,374Data di fine
6 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli’s three Grand Prix victories from the opening poles, including a hard-fought Miami win that extended his 20-point lead in the drivers’ standings over teammate George Russell, underpin the current 38% implied probability. The Mercedes duo’s front-row lockouts and consistent points hauls have narrowed the early title race to an intra-team contest, keeping Russell at 30% as the season’s remaining schedule offers ample opportunity for recovery. Lando Norris sits third at 11.6% on the strength of McLaren’s recent pace, while Max Verstappen and Oscar Piastri trail further back amid shifting constructor dynamics and the long haul of remaining rounds still ahead.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$150,030,374Data di fine
6 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kimi Antonelli’s three Grand Prix victories from the opening poles, including a hard-fought Miami win that extended his 20-point lead in the drivers’ standings over teammate George Russell, underpin the current 38% implied probability. The Mercedes duo’s front-row lockouts and consistent points hauls have narrowed the early title race to an intra-team contest, keeping Russell at 30% as the season’s remaining schedule offers ample opportunity for recovery. Lando Norris sits third at 11.6% on the strength of McLaren’s recent pace, while Max Verstappen and Oscar Piastri trail further back amid shifting constructor dynamics and the long haul of remaining rounds still ahead.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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