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Sport·Ricompense 50, 4,5, 20

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

icon for World Cup: Golden Ball Winner
Sport·Ricompense 50, 4,5, 20

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

Lamine Yamal 12%

Kylian Mbappé 10%

Michael Olise 9%

Harry Kane 8%

Polymarket

$44,713 Vol.

Lamine Yamal 12%

Kylian Mbappé 10%

Michael Olise 9%

Harry Kane 8%

Polymarket

$44,713 Vol.

Lamine Yamal

$1,389 Vol.

12%

Kylian Mbappé

$6,361 Vol.

10%

Michael Olise

$2,504 Vol.

9%

Harry Kane

$5,324 Vol.

8%

Lionel Messi

$2,257 Vol.

7%

Bruno Fernandes

$3,671 Vol.

7%

Pedri

$860 Vol.

6%

Florian Wirtz

$2,936 Vol.

4%

Vitinha

$3,441 Vol.

4%

Vinícius Jr.

$2,562 Vol.

4%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$4,287 Vol.

3%

Ousmane Dembélé

$1,963 Vol.

3%

Rayan Cherki

$1,565 Vol.

3%

Erling Haaland

$2,050 Vol.

3%

Jude Bellingham

$535 Vol.

3%

Declan Rice

$880 Vol.

2%

Rodri

$276 Vol.

2%

Bukayo Saka

$701 Vol.

1%

Neymar

$751 Vol.

1%

Gavi

$398 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 World Cup Golden Ball market remains wide open, with no single player commanding a dominant share and the listed contenders clustered in single digits behind a 50% "Other" outcome. This pricing reflects the extended timeline until the tournament, where standout performances in league play, Champions League runs, or national team qualifiers can rapidly elevate candidates like Lamine Yamal, Kylian Mbappé, or Harry Kane. Historical precedent shows the award often hinges on tournament form rather than pre-event reputation, keeping probabilities fluid as injuries, tactical fits, and breakout campaigns reshape the field. Trader consensus prices this uncertainty through modest individual odds that leave substantial room for late surges or dark-horse contributions.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$44,713
Data di fine
20 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 World Cup Golden Ball market remains wide open, with no single player commanding a dominant share and the listed contenders clustered in single digits behind a 50% "Other" outcome. This pricing reflects the extended timeline until the tournament, where standout performances in league play, Champions League runs, or national team qualifiers can rapidly elevate candidates like Lamine Yamal, Kylian Mbappé, or Harry Kane. Historical precedent shows the award often hinges on tournament form rather than pre-event reputation, keeping probabilities fluid as injuries, tactical fits, and breakout campaigns reshape the field. Trader consensus prices this uncertainty through modest individual odds that leave substantial room for late surges or dark-horse contributions.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$44,713
Data di fine
20 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"World Cup: Golden Ball Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 20 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Lamine Yamal" a 12%, seguito da "Kylian Mbappé" a 10%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 12¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 12% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "World Cup: Golden Ball Winner" ha generato $44.7K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jun 3, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "World Cup: Golden Ball Winner", esplora i 20 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "World Cup: Golden Ball Winner" è "Lamine Yamal" a 12%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 12% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Kylian Mbappé" a 10%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "World Cup: Golden Ball Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.