The current 94.5% implied probability on “No” for the fastest World Cup goal record being broken reflects the extreme rarity of surpassing Hakan Şükür’s 11-second mark from 2002, an outlier requiring an immediate defensive collapse or perfect early strike right at kickoff. With the expanded 48-team tournament opening on June 11 and no pre-tournament developments altering defensive setups or attacking tendencies, traders see little evidence that any opening matches will produce such an anomaly. Historical data across prior World Cups shows goals in under 15 seconds remain exceptional even across dozens of fixtures, and the added volume of 104 matches does not materially shift the per-game odds enough to overcome this baseline improbability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
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Note: Current record 11 seconds (Hakan Sukur, Turkey vs. South Korea, 2002.)
This market will resolve “Yes” if any goal is officially timed at under 11 seconds from kick-off in any match across the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Timing is based on official FIFA match data. If official timing is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or FIFA has not acknowledged that the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The current 94.5% implied probability on “No” for the fastest World Cup goal record being broken reflects the extreme rarity of surpassing Hakan Şükür’s 11-second mark from 2002, an outlier requiring an immediate defensive collapse or perfect early strike right at kickoff. With the expanded 48-team tournament opening on June 11 and no pre-tournament developments altering defensive setups or attacking tendencies, traders see little evidence that any opening matches will produce such an anomaly. Historical data across prior World Cups shows goals in under 15 seconds remain exceptional even across dozens of fixtures, and the added volume of 104 matches does not materially shift the per-game odds enough to overcome this baseline improbability.
Note: Current record 11 seconds (Hakan Sukur, Turkey vs. South Korea, 2002.)
This market will resolve “Yes” if any goal is officially timed at under 11 seconds from kick-off in any match across the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Timing is based on official FIFA match data. If official timing is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or FIFA has not acknowledged that the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any goal is officially timed at under 11 seconds from kick-off in any match across the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Timing is based on official FIFA match data. If official timing is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or FIFA has not acknowledged that the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 9, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
Volume
$61Data di fine
20 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 2:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91... Note: Current record 11 seconds (Hakan Sukur, Turkey vs. South Korea, 2002.)
This market will resolve “Yes” if any goal is officially timed at under 11 seconds from kick-off in any match across the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Timing is based on official FIFA match data. If official timing is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or FIFA has not acknowledged that the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The current 94.5% implied probability on “No” for the fastest World Cup goal record being broken reflects the extreme rarity of surpassing Hakan Şükür’s 11-second mark from 2002, an outlier requiring an immediate defensive collapse or perfect early strike right at kickoff. With the expanded 48-team tournament opening on June 11 and no pre-tournament developments altering defensive setups or attacking tendencies, traders see little evidence that any opening matches will produce such an anomaly. Historical data across prior World Cups shows goals in under 15 seconds remain exceptional even across dozens of fixtures, and the added volume of 104 matches does not materially shift the per-game odds enough to overcome this baseline improbability.
Note: Current record 11 seconds (Hakan Sukur, Turkey vs. South Korea, 2002.)
This market will resolve “Yes” if any goal is officially timed at under 11 seconds from kick-off in any match across the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Timing is based on official FIFA match data. If official timing is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or FIFA has not acknowledged that the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any goal is officially timed at under 11 seconds from kick-off in any match across the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Timing is based on official FIFA match data. If official timing is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or FIFA has not acknowledged that the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$61Data di fine
20 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 2:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The current 94.5% implied probability on “No” for the fastest World Cup goal record being broken reflects the extreme rarity of surpassing Hakan Şükür’s 11-second mark from 2002, an outlier requiring an immediate defensive collapse or perfect early strike right at kickoff. With the expanded 48-team tournament opening on June 11 and no pre-tournament developments altering defensive setups or attacking tendencies, traders see little evidence that any opening matches will produce such an anomaly. Historical data across prior World Cups shows goals in under 15 seconds remain exceptional even across dozens of fixtures, and the added volume of 104 matches does not materially shift the per-game odds enough to overcome this baseline improbability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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