Jannik Sinner holds the strongest position in the 2026 US Open market thanks to his record-setting streak of consecutive ATP Masters 1000 titles and consistent hard-court dominance this season, which has solidified his world No. 1 ranking. Carlos Alcaraz remains the primary challenger despite a right wrist injury that forced withdrawals from recent clay events including the Italian Open and French Open, with traders pricing in a potential return for the North American swing. Novak Djokovic’s low implied probability reflects ongoing physical management and limited match play at age 38, while players such as Alexander Zverev and Daniil Medvedev trail further back in recent form and head-to-head results on hard courts. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these probabilities underscores Sinner’s current edge while acknowledging the inherent variability of Grand Slam outcomes over the coming months.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJannik Sinner 46%
Carlos Alcaraz 33%
Novak Djokovic 4.3%
Alexander Zverev 3.1%
$1,444,620 Vol.
$1,444,620 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
46%
Carlos Alcaraz
33%
Novak Djokovic
4%
Alexander Zverev
3%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Taylor Fritz
2%
Arthur Fils
2%
Ben Shelton
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Hubert Hurkacz
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Holger Rune
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Jannik Sinner 46%
Carlos Alcaraz 33%
Novak Djokovic 4.3%
Alexander Zverev 3.1%
$1,444,620 Vol.
$1,444,620 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
46%
Carlos Alcaraz
33%
Novak Djokovic
4%
Alexander Zverev
3%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Taylor Fritz
2%
Arthur Fils
2%
Ben Shelton
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Hubert Hurkacz
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Holger Rune
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner holds the strongest position in the 2026 US Open market thanks to his record-setting streak of consecutive ATP Masters 1000 titles and consistent hard-court dominance this season, which has solidified his world No. 1 ranking. Carlos Alcaraz remains the primary challenger despite a right wrist injury that forced withdrawals from recent clay events including the Italian Open and French Open, with traders pricing in a potential return for the North American swing. Novak Djokovic’s low implied probability reflects ongoing physical management and limited match play at age 38, while players such as Alexander Zverev and Daniil Medvedev trail further back in recent form and head-to-head results on hard courts. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these probabilities underscores Sinner’s current edge while acknowledging the inherent variability of Grand Slam outcomes over the coming months.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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