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icon for 2026 MLB Home Run Derby: Numero di HR Bonus Swing

2026 MLB Home Run Derby: Numero di HR Bonus Swing

icon for 2026 MLB Home Run Derby: Numero di HR Bonus Swing

2026 MLB Home Run Derby: Numero di HR Bonus Swing

NUOVO
13 lug 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

3+ Bonus HRs

$0 Vol.

50%

6+ Bonus HRs

$0 Vol.

74%

10+ Bonus HRs

$0 Vol.

50%

15+ Bonus HRs

$0 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of home runs hit on bonus swings during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only home runs hit on bonus swings are counted. Home runs hit in a swing off or prior to a player’s final allotted swing (i.e. swing 1-19 in the first round and swing 1-14 in remaining rounds) do not count. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed rounds. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The new 2026 Home Run Derby format replaces timed rounds and outs with fixed swing allotments—20 in Round 1 for all eight participants and 15 in the semifinals and final for the top four—creating bonus swings only when a batter homers on the final allotted swing of any round and continues until recording a non-homer. Announced in mid-June, this structure means bonus HRs depend on the specific timing of a long ball rather than overall volume or pace, with tiebreakers using longest distance in Round 1 and three-swing swing-offs later. The Philadelphia-hosted field, headlined by Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber plus power threats like Junior Caminero, Jordan Walker, and Ben Rice, features proven sluggers whose recent form and ability to sustain output deep into their swing counts will influence whether final-swing homers trigger extras. With the event days away, roster health, rest advantages from the All-Star break, and any late lineup tweaks remain key variables affecting the probability of bonus opportunities materializing across the bracket.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of home runs hit on bonus swings during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only home runs hit on bonus swings are counted. Home runs hit in a swing off or prior to a player’s final allotted swing (i.e. swing 1-19 in the first round and swing 1-14 in remaining rounds) do not count.

If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed rounds.

If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Data di fine
13 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 10, 2026, 5:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of home runs hit on bonus swings during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only home runs hit on bonus swings are counted. Home runs hit in a swing off or prior to a player’s final allotted swing (i.e. swing 1-19 in the first round and swing 1-14 in remaining rounds) do not count. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed rounds. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of home runs hit on bonus swings during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only home runs hit on bonus swings are counted. Home runs hit in a swing off or prior to a player’s final allotted swing (i.e. swing 1-19 in the first round and swing 1-14 in remaining rounds) do not count. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed rounds. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The new 2026 Home Run Derby format replaces timed rounds and outs with fixed swing allotments—20 in Round 1 for all eight participants and 15 in the semifinals and final for the top four—creating bonus swings only when a batter homers on the final allotted swing of any round and continues until recording a non-homer. Announced in mid-June, this structure means bonus HRs depend on the specific timing of a long ball rather than overall volume or pace, with tiebreakers using longest distance in Round 1 and three-swing swing-offs later. The Philadelphia-hosted field, headlined by Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber plus power threats like Junior Caminero, Jordan Walker, and Ben Rice, features proven sluggers whose recent form and ability to sustain output deep into their swing counts will influence whether final-swing homers trigger extras. With the event days away, roster health, rest advantages from the All-Star break, and any late lineup tweaks remain key variables affecting the probability of bonus opportunities materializing across the bracket.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of home runs hit on bonus swings during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only home runs hit on bonus swings are counted. Home runs hit in a swing off or prior to a player’s final allotted swing (i.e. swing 1-19 in the first round and swing 1-14 in remaining rounds) do not count.

If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed rounds.

If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Data di fine
13 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 10, 2026, 5:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of home runs hit on bonus swings during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only home runs hit on bonus swings are counted. Home runs hit in a swing off or prior to a player’s final allotted swing (i.e. swing 1-19 in the first round and swing 1-14 in remaining rounds) do not count. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed rounds. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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"2026 MLB Home Run Derby: Numero di HR Bonus Swing" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "6+ Bonus HRs" a 74%, seguito da "10+ Bonus HRs" a 50%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 74¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 74% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"2026 MLB Home Run Derby: Numero di HR Bonus Swing" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jul 10, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "2026 MLB Home Run Derby: Numero di HR Bonus Swing", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "2026 MLB Home Run Derby: Numero di HR Bonus Swing" è "6+ Bonus HRs" a 74%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 74% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "10+ Bonus HRs" a 50%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "2026 MLB Home Run Derby: Numero di HR Bonus Swing" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.