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icon for 2026 MLB Home Run Derby: giocatore con più HR (round singolo)
Sport·MLB

2026 MLB Home Run Derby: giocatore con più HR (round singolo)

icon for 2026 MLB Home Run Derby: giocatore con più HR (round singolo)
Sport·MLB

2026 MLB Home Run Derby: giocatore con più HR (round singolo)

Jordan Walker 50%

Willson Contreras 47%

Jac Caglianone 25%

Kyle Schwarber 1%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Jordan Walker 50%

Willson Contreras 47%

Jac Caglianone 25%

Kyle Schwarber 1%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Jordan Walker

$41 Vol.

50%

Willson Contreras

$22 Vol.

47%

Jac Caglianone

$22 Vol.

25%

icon for Kyle Schwarber

Kyle Schwarber

$22 Vol.

50%

Ben Rice

$22 Vol.

49%

Junior Caminero

$43 Vol.

-

Bryce Harper

$22 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve according to the player that hits the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If two players tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that hits the most home runs during the entirety of 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the player with the most home runs in a single round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 MLB Home Run Derby market shows tightly bunched implied probabilities near 50% for several young power hitters, underscoring the competitive depth and format-driven uncertainty in who posts the highest single-round total. Jordan Walker, Ben Rice, Junior Caminero, and Jac Caglianone sit at the top of trader consensus due to their raw power profiles, recent swing mechanics, and high exit velocities that translate well to the Derby's pitch-tracking setup. Bryce Harper and Willson Contreras trade at lower levels around 25%, reflecting age, rest considerations, or historical Derby variance. With no dominant favorite and outcomes hinging on swing count, pitch location, and short-term streaks rather than season-long stats, the wisdom of crowds prices this as a wide-open contest where small edges in bat speed or stamina can shift results.

This market will resolve according to the player that hits the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby.

If two players tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that hits the most home runs during the entirety of 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the player with the most home runs in a single round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$195
Data di fine
13 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player that hits the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If two players tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that hits the most home runs during the entirety of 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the player with the most home runs in a single round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player that hits the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If two players tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that hits the most home runs during the entirety of 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the player with the most home runs in a single round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 MLB Home Run Derby market shows tightly bunched implied probabilities near 50% for several young power hitters, underscoring the competitive depth and format-driven uncertainty in who posts the highest single-round total. Jordan Walker, Ben Rice, Junior Caminero, and Jac Caglianone sit at the top of trader consensus due to their raw power profiles, recent swing mechanics, and high exit velocities that translate well to the Derby's pitch-tracking setup. Bryce Harper and Willson Contreras trade at lower levels around 25%, reflecting age, rest considerations, or historical Derby variance. With no dominant favorite and outcomes hinging on swing count, pitch location, and short-term streaks rather than season-long stats, the wisdom of crowds prices this as a wide-open contest where small edges in bat speed or stamina can shift results.

This market will resolve according to the player that hits the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby.

If two players tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that hits the most home runs during the entirety of 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the player with the most home runs in a single round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$195
Data di fine
13 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player that hits the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If two players tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that hits the most home runs during the entirety of 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the player with the most home runs in a single round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"2026 MLB Home Run Derby: giocatore con più HR (round singolo)" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Jordan Walker" a 49%, seguito da "Ben Rice" a 49%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 49¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 49% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"2026 MLB Home Run Derby: giocatore con più HR (round singolo)" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jul 10, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "2026 MLB Home Run Derby: giocatore con più HR (round singolo)", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "2026 MLB Home Run Derby: giocatore con più HR (round singolo)" è "Jordan Walker" a 49%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 49% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Ben Rice" a 49%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "2026 MLB Home Run Derby: giocatore con più HR (round singolo)" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.