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Sport·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

icon for MLB: Home Runs Leader
Sport·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

Aaron Judge 37%

Kyle Schwarber 27%

Munetaka Murakami 14%

Matt Olson 7.2%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Aaron Judge 37%

Kyle Schwarber 27%

Munetaka Murakami 14%

Matt Olson 7.2%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Aaron Judge

$141 Vol.

37%

Kyle Schwarber

$1,109 Vol.

27%

Munetaka Murakami

$2,396 Vol.

14%

Matt Olson

$661 Vol.

7%

Yordan Alvarez

$21 Vol.

7%

James Wood

$5 Vol.

5%

Brandon Lowe

$5 Vol.

2%

Shohei Ohtani

$218 Vol.

2%

Elly De La Cruz

$161 Vol.

2%

Shea Langeliers

$201 Vol.

2%

Ben Rice

$5 Vol.

2%

Jordan Walker

$5 Vol.

2%

CJ Abrams

$5 Vol.

1%

Manny Machado

$5 Vol.

1%

Cal Raleigh

$5 Vol.

1%

Junior Caminero

$5 Vol.

1%

Nick Kurtz

$32 Vol.

1%

Sal Stewart

$5 Vol.

1%

George Springer

$27 Vol.

1%

Mike Trout

$5 Vol.

1%

Giancarlo Stanton

$5 Vol.

1%

Eugenio Suarez

$5 Vol.

1%

Juan Soto

$5 Vol.

1%

Rafael Devers

$5 Vol.

1%

Pete Alonso

$5 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Judge leads trader consensus for the MLB home runs crown at 36.5% implied probability, driven by his proven power output, favorable Yankee Stadium dimensions, and history of sustaining high home run totals across full seasons. Kyle Schwarber sits second at 27% after a hot early surge that included multi-homer games and the first 20-home-run mark of 2026, though questions around consistency temper his market position. Munetaka Murakami holds 14% following strong initial production in his MLB transition, while Matt Olson at 7.1% and Yordan Alvarez at 6.5% reflect solid but secondary power profiles relative to the top contenders. Recent form shows a tight race among established sluggers, with lineup protection, rest schedules, and ballpark factors likely to influence late-season separation.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,041
Data di fine
28 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Judge leads trader consensus for the MLB home runs crown at 36.5% implied probability, driven by his proven power output, favorable Yankee Stadium dimensions, and history of sustaining high home run totals across full seasons. Kyle Schwarber sits second at 27% after a hot early surge that included multi-homer games and the first 20-home-run mark of 2026, though questions around consistency temper his market position. Munetaka Murakami holds 14% following strong initial production in his MLB transition, while Matt Olson at 7.1% and Yordan Alvarez at 6.5% reflect solid but secondary power profiles relative to the top contenders. Recent form shows a tight race among established sluggers, with lineup protection, rest schedules, and ballpark factors likely to influence late-season separation.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,041
Data di fine
28 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"MLB: Home Runs Leader" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 25 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Aaron Judge" a 37%, seguito da "Kyle Schwarber" a 27%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 37¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 37% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"MLB: Home Runs Leader" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Apr 22, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "MLB: Home Runs Leader", esplora i 25 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "MLB: Home Runs Leader" è "Aaron Judge" a 37%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 37% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Kyle Schwarber" a 27%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "MLB: Home Runs Leader" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.