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Sport·Rookie

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

icon for MLB: AL Rookie of the Year
Sport·Rookie

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

Kevin McGonigle 84%

Munetaka Murakami 13.1%

Parker Messick 1.1%

Kazuma Okamoto 1.0%

Polymarket

$1,633,231 Vol.

Kevin McGonigle 84%

Munetaka Murakami 13.1%

Parker Messick 1.1%

Kazuma Okamoto 1.0%

Polymarket

$1,633,231 Vol.

Kevin McGonigle

$47,197 Vol.

84%

Munetaka Murakami

$60,631 Vol.

13%

Parker Messick

$1,915 Vol.

1%

Kazuma Okamoto

$229,952 Vol.

1%

Trey Yesavage

$3,376 Vol.

1%

Travis Bazzana

$5,115 Vol.

1%

Payton Tolle

$195,087 Vol.

1%

Spencer Jones

$38,190 Vol.

1%

Chase DeLauter

$4,873 Vol.

1%

Connelly Early

$71,091 Vol.

<1%

Carter Jensen

$94,357 Vol.

<1%

Walker Jenkins

$63,086 Vol.

<1%

Brice Matthews

$140,575 Vol.

<1%

Leo De Vries

$111,538 Vol.

<1%

Carson Williams

$430,068 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Lagrange

$65,673 Vol.

<1%

Max Clark

$62,753 Vol.

<1%

Tatsuya Imai

$833 Vol.

<1%

Samuel Basallo

$2,450 Vol.

<1%

Dylan Beavers

$1,464 Vol.

<1%

Colt Emerson

$2,546 Vol.

<1%

Sam Antonacci

$231 Vol.

<1%

George Lombard Jr.

$231 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kevin McGonigle of the Detroit Tigers holds an overwhelming 84% implied probability in the AL Rookie of the Year market due to his elite all-around production as a 21-year-old shortstop. Through roughly 116 games he has posted a .286/.391/.428 slash line with more walks than strikeouts, strong stolen-base efficiency, and the highest rookie WAR in the league, earning All-Star honors and MVP candidate discussion. Munetaka Murakami of the White Sox sits at 13% after an early power surge that included Home Run Derby selection and monthly awards, but a right hamstring injury has limited his recent output and widened the gap. Pitchers and hitters such as Parker Messick trail further behind, reflecting McGonigle’s consistent statistical edge and the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,633,231
Data di fine
19 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kevin McGonigle of the Detroit Tigers holds an overwhelming 84% implied probability in the AL Rookie of the Year market due to his elite all-around production as a 21-year-old shortstop. Through roughly 116 games he has posted a .286/.391/.428 slash line with more walks than strikeouts, strong stolen-base efficiency, and the highest rookie WAR in the league, earning All-Star honors and MVP candidate discussion. Munetaka Murakami of the White Sox sits at 13% after an early power surge that included Home Run Derby selection and monthly awards, but a right hamstring injury has limited his recent output and widened the gap. Pitchers and hitters such as Parker Messick trail further behind, reflecting McGonigle’s consistent statistical edge and the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,633,231
Data di fine
19 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 23 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Kevin McGonigle" a 84%, seguito da "Munetaka Murakami" a 13%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 84¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 84% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" ha generato $1.6 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Mar 26, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year", esplora i 23 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" è "Kevin McGonigle" a 84%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 84% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Munetaka Murakami" a 13%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.