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Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$148,326 Vol.

17 apr 2027
Polymarket

$148,326 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,705 Vol.

96%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$10,209 Vol.

85%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$5,180 Vol.

84%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$2,377 Vol.

77%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$2,751 Vol.

76%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$6,695 Vol.

75%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$2,615 Vol.

69%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$5,085 Vol.

53%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$576 Vol.

59%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$5,251 Vol.

50%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$5,801 Vol.

42%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$4,623 Vol.

41%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$1,342 Vol.

37%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$979 Vol.

34%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$4,681 Vol.

30%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$2,257 Vol.

26%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$4,322 Vol.

20%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$2,881 Vol.

17%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$3,638 Vol.

17%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$10,076 Vol.

13%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$3,175 Vol.

10%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$350 Vol.

10%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$2,539 Vol.

10%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$2,250 Vol.

9%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$1,756 Vol.

9%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$1,417 Vol.

9%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$2,385 Vol.

9%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$1,265 Vol.

9%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,742 Vol.

8%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$1,637 Vol.

8%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$2,842 Vol.

7%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$559 Vol.

7%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$2,727 Vol.

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$1,557 Vol.

7%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$4,748 Vol.

6%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$743 Vol.

5%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,576 Vol.

4%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$972 Vol.

4%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$1,258 Vol.

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$19,686 Vol.

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$478 Vol.

4%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$352 Vol.

3%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$850 Vol.

3%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$345 Vol.

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$970 Vol.

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$2,102 Vol.

2%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$148,326
Data di fine
17 apr 2027
Mercato aperto
Apr 24, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$148,326
Data di fine
17 apr 2027
Mercato aperto
Apr 24, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 46+ possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" a 96%, seguito da "Édouard Philippe" a 85%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 96¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 96% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" ha generato $148.3K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 22, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?", esplora i 46+ esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" è "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" a 96%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 96% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Édouard Philippe" a 85%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.