Anthropic’s latest Claude Opus 4.6 and 4.7 variants have posted meaningful gains on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath benchmark, quadrupling prior Tier 4 results through expanded reasoning chains and tool use, yet they still trail OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro and GPT-5.4 Pro, which lead the public leaderboard at 52.4 % and 50 % respectively. The benchmark’s research-level problems, authored by mathematicians including Fields Medalists, remain far from saturation, and Epoch AI is currently correcting errors flagged in roughly one-third of Tier 1–4 items, with updated scores expected soon. Traders are watching for any Claude 4.7 or Mythos preview release before the June 30 cutoff, as even incremental model updates have historically shifted math-benchmark performance quickly. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s rapid GPT-5 iterations and Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro previews keeps the outcome finely balanced.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPunteggio Claude antropico su FrontierMath Benchmark entro il 30 giugno?
Punteggio Claude antropico su FrontierMath Benchmark entro il 30 giugno?
$61,954 Vol.
28 feb 2026
50%+
52%
$61,954 Vol.
50%+
$14,920 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic’s latest Claude Opus 4.6 and 4.7 variants have posted meaningful gains on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath benchmark, quadrupling prior Tier 4 results through expanded reasoning chains and tool use, yet they still trail OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro and GPT-5.4 Pro, which lead the public leaderboard at 52.4 % and 50 % respectively. The benchmark’s research-level problems, authored by mathematicians including Fields Medalists, remain far from saturation, and Epoch AI is currently correcting errors flagged in roughly one-third of Tier 1–4 items, with updated scores expected soon. Traders are watching for any Claude 4.7 or Mythos preview release before the June 30 cutoff, as even incremental model updates have historically shifted math-benchmark performance quickly. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s rapid GPT-5 iterations and Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro previews keeps the outcome finely balanced.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$61,954Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic’s latest Claude Opus 4.6 and 4.7 variants have posted meaningful gains on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath benchmark, quadrupling prior Tier 4 results through expanded reasoning chains and tool use, yet they still trail OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro and GPT-5.4 Pro, which lead the public leaderboard at 52.4 % and 50 % respectively. The benchmark’s research-level problems, authored by mathematicians including Fields Medalists, remain far from saturation, and Epoch AI is currently correcting errors flagged in roughly one-third of Tier 1–4 items, with updated scores expected soon. Traders are watching for any Claude 4.7 or Mythos preview release before the June 30 cutoff, as even incremental model updates have historically shifted math-benchmark performance quickly. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s rapid GPT-5 iterations and Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro previews keeps the outcome finely balanced.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$61,954Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s latest Claude Opus 4.6 and 4.7 variants have posted meaningful gains on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath benchmark, quadrupling prior Tier 4 results through expanded reasoning chains and tool use, yet they still trail OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro and GPT-5.4 Pro, which lead the public leaderboard at 52.4 % and 50 % respectively. The benchmark’s research-level problems, authored by mathematicians including Fields Medalists, remain far from saturation, and Epoch AI is currently correcting errors flagged in roughly one-third of Tier 1–4 items, with updated scores expected soon. Traders are watching for any Claude 4.7 or Mythos preview release before the June 30 cutoff, as even incremental model updates have historically shifted math-benchmark performance quickly. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s rapid GPT-5 iterations and Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro previews keeps the outcome finely balanced.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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