**Trader consensus heavily favors no change at the Bank of Israel's next policy meeting, with the 76% implied probability reflecting the central bank's recent 25 basis point cut to 3.5% in July and July 2026 CPI easing to 1.5%, comfortably inside the 1-3% target range.** Inflation has stabilized near the midpoint after multiple months below 2%, supported by shekel appreciation and moderating price pressures in housing, food, and transport. The Monetary Committee has signaled a gradual, data-dependent path, with one-year expectations also anchored near target amid subdued growth revisions and lingering geopolitical uncertainty. A modest 23.5% chance of a further 25 basis point cut prices in the possibility of additional easing if incoming data reinforce disinflation, while hike probabilities remain negligible given the current stance. The September 3 meeting serves as the key near-term catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNessun cambiamento 76%
Taglio di 25 punti base 24%
Taglio di 50+ punti base <1%
Aumento di 50+ punti base <1%
$72,556 Vol.
$72,556 Vol.
31 ago 2026
Taglio di 50+ punti base
1%
Taglio di 25 punti base
24%
Nessun cambiamento
76%
Aumento di 25 punti base
<1%
Aumento di 50+ punti base
1%
Nessun cambiamento 76%
Taglio di 25 punti base 24%
Taglio di 50+ punti base <1%
Aumento di 50+ punti base <1%
$72,556 Vol.
$72,556 Vol.
31 ago 2026
Taglio di 50+ punti base
$3,099 Vol.
1%
Taglio di 25 punti base
$17,620 Vol.
24%
Nessun cambiamento
$47,509 Vol.
76%
Aumento di 25 punti base
$2,085 Vol.
<1%
Aumento di 50+ punti base
$2,243 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Israel Monetary Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors no change at the Bank of Israel's next policy meeting, with the 76% implied probability reflecting the central bank's recent 25 basis point cut to 3.5% in July and July 2026 CPI easing to 1.5%, comfortably inside the 1-3% target range.**
Inflation has stabilized near the midpoint after multiple months below 2%, supported by shekel appreciation and moderating price pressures in housing, food, and transport. The Monetary Committee has signaled a gradual, data-dependent path, with one-year expectations also anchored near target amid subdued growth revisions and lingering geopolitical uncertainty. A modest 23.5% chance of a further 25 basis point cut prices in the possibility of additional easing if incoming data reinforce disinflation, while hike probabilities remain negligible given the current stance. The September 3 meeting serves as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Israel Monetary Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: May 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Volume
$72,556Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
May 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Israel Monetary Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors no change at the Bank of Israel's next policy meeting, with the 76% implied probability reflecting the central bank's recent 25 basis point cut to 3.5% in July and July 2026 CPI easing to 1.5%, comfortably inside the 1-3% target range.**
Inflation has stabilized near the midpoint after multiple months below 2%, supported by shekel appreciation and moderating price pressures in housing, food, and transport. The Monetary Committee has signaled a gradual, data-dependent path, with one-year expectations also anchored near target amid subdued growth revisions and lingering geopolitical uncertainty. A modest 23.5% chance of a further 25 basis point cut prices in the possibility of additional easing if incoming data reinforce disinflation, while hike probabilities remain negligible given the current stance. The September 3 meeting serves as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Israel Monetary Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Volume
$72,556Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
May 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors no change at the Bank of Israel's next policy meeting, with the 76% implied probability reflecting the central bank's recent 25 basis point cut to 3.5% in July and July 2026 CPI easing to 1.5%, comfortably inside the 1-3% target range.** Inflation has stabilized near the midpoint after multiple months below 2%, supported by shekel appreciation and moderating price pressures in housing, food, and transport. The Monetary Committee has signaled a gradual, data-dependent path, with one-year expectations also anchored near target amid subdued growth revisions and lingering geopolitical uncertainty. A modest 23.5% chance of a further 25 basis point cut prices in the possibility of additional easing if incoming data reinforce disinflation, while hike probabilities remain negligible given the current stance. The September 3 meeting serves as the key near-term catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
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