Trader consensus assigns a 90.5% implied probability to no change in Bank Rate at the September 17 meeting, driven by the Monetary Policy Committee’s 6-3 hold at 3.75% in late July and the balance of recent UK data. June CPI eased to 2.6% with continued underlying disinflation in core measures and a loose labor market, yet the BoE highlighted temporary upward pressure from Middle East energy price volatility expected to lift inflation toward 3.2% by year-end. Market pricing in gilt curves and recent MPC communications reflect a preference to monitor incoming releases before adjusting policy, consistent with the current stance that rates are appropriately restrictive. A sharper escalation in geopolitical tensions or hotter-than-forecast CPI prints ahead of the meeting could realistically tilt the balance toward the 10% priced chance of a 25 basis point hike.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDecisione della Banca d'Inghilterra a settembre?
Decisione della Banca d'Inghilterra a settembre?
Nessuna variazione 91%
Aumento di 25 punti base 10.0%
Riduzione di oltre 50 pb <1%
Riduzione di 25 punti base <1%
$136,922 Vol.
$136,922 Vol.
17 set 2026
Riduzione di oltre 50 pb
<1%
Riduzione di 25 punti base
<1%
Nessuna variazione
91%
Aumento di 25 punti base
10%
Aumento di oltre 50 punti base
<1%
Nessuna variazione 91%
Aumento di 25 punti base 10.0%
Riduzione di oltre 50 pb <1%
Riduzione di 25 punti base <1%
$136,922 Vol.
$136,922 Vol.
17 set 2026
Riduzione di oltre 50 pb
$10,102 Vol.
<1%
Riduzione di 25 punti base
$12,713 Vol.
<1%
Nessuna variazione
$53,501 Vol.
91%
Aumento di 25 punti base
$47,459 Vol.
10%
Aumento di oltre 50 punti base
$13,147 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns a 90.5% implied probability to no change in Bank Rate at the September 17 meeting, driven by the Monetary Policy Committee’s 6-3 hold at 3.75% in late July and the balance of recent UK data. June CPI eased to 2.6% with continued underlying disinflation in core measures and a loose labor market, yet the BoE highlighted temporary upward pressure from Middle East energy price volatility expected to lift inflation toward 3.2% by year-end. Market pricing in gilt curves and recent MPC communications reflect a preference to monitor incoming releases before adjusting policy, consistent with the current stance that rates are appropriately restrictive. A sharper escalation in geopolitical tensions or hotter-than-forecast CPI prints ahead of the meeting could realistically tilt the balance toward the 10% priced chance of a 25 basis point hike.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Volume
$136,922Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns a 90.5% implied probability to no change in Bank Rate at the September 17 meeting, driven by the Monetary Policy Committee’s 6-3 hold at 3.75% in late July and the balance of recent UK data. June CPI eased to 2.6% with continued underlying disinflation in core measures and a loose labor market, yet the BoE highlighted temporary upward pressure from Middle East energy price volatility expected to lift inflation toward 3.2% by year-end. Market pricing in gilt curves and recent MPC communications reflect a preference to monitor incoming releases before adjusting policy, consistent with the current stance that rates are appropriately restrictive. A sharper escalation in geopolitical tensions or hotter-than-forecast CPI prints ahead of the meeting could realistically tilt the balance toward the 10% priced chance of a 25 basis point hike.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Volume
$136,922Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 90.5% implied probability to no change in Bank Rate at the September 17 meeting, driven by the Monetary Policy Committee’s 6-3 hold at 3.75% in late July and the balance of recent UK data. June CPI eased to 2.6% with continued underlying disinflation in core measures and a loose labor market, yet the BoE highlighted temporary upward pressure from Middle East energy price volatility expected to lift inflation toward 3.2% by year-end. Market pricing in gilt curves and recent MPC communications reflect a preference to monitor incoming releases before adjusting policy, consistent with the current stance that rates are appropriately restrictive. A sharper escalation in geopolitical tensions or hotter-than-forecast CPI prints ahead of the meeting could realistically tilt the balance toward the 10% priced chance of a 25 basis point hike.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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