Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver of crude oil prices ahead of June. Brent crude has traded near $110 per barrel in mid-May amid Middle East production shutdowns exceeding 10 million barrels per day and sharp inventory draws expected to total 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter. The EIA projects Brent averaging $106 per barrel through June before easing, while longer-term forecasts from J.P. Morgan point to an average near $60 for the full year on soft fundamentals. Traders are monitoring potential Strait reopening signals and any OPEC+ adjustments that could alter supply balances and risk premiums through the end of the month.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIl petrolio greggio (CL) raggiungerà__ entro la fine di giugno?
$17,121,611 Vol.
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
5%
↑ $150
12%
↑ $140
19%
↑ $130
32%
↑ $120
47%
↑ $115
59%
↑ $110
67%
↑ $105
87%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
42%
↓ $80
36%
↓ $70
10%
↓ $60
5%
↓ $55
3%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
2%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
1%
$17,121,611 Vol.
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
5%
↑ $150
12%
↑ $140
19%
↑ $130
32%
↑ $120
47%
↑ $115
59%
↑ $110
67%
↑ $105
87%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
42%
↓ $80
36%
↓ $70
10%
↓ $60
5%
↓ $55
3%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
2%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercato aperto: May 11, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver of crude oil prices ahead of June. Brent crude has traded near $110 per barrel in mid-May amid Middle East production shutdowns exceeding 10 million barrels per day and sharp inventory draws expected to total 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter. The EIA projects Brent averaging $106 per barrel through June before easing, while longer-term forecasts from J.P. Morgan point to an average near $60 for the full year on soft fundamentals. Traders are monitoring potential Strait reopening signals and any OPEC+ adjustments that could alter supply balances and risk premiums through the end of the month.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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