Traders view the sub-40 and 40-64 tweet ranges as the closest contest because Elon Musk’s daily posting volume typically hovers in the low-to-mid range absent major business catalysts. His X activity often stays measured during routine weeks, yet spikes follow earnings calls, product reveals, or high-profile exchanges. With August 3–5 falling mid-week and no confirmed Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI announcements on the immediate horizon, the market prices in limited upside. A single viral thread or rapid-fire replies could tip the total into the higher bin, while a quieter stretch would lock in the lower outcome. The tight spread captures this narrow window of uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElon Musk # twitta dal 3 al 5 agosto 2026?
Elon Musk # twitta dal 3 al 5 agosto 2026?
meno di 40 46.6%
40-64 41%
65-89 13%
90-114 1.9%
$172,743 Vol.
$172,743 Vol.
5 ago 2026
meno di 40
47%
40-64
41%
65-89
13%
90-114
2%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
meno di 40 46.6%
40-64 41%
65-89 13%
90-114 1.9%
$172,743 Vol.
$172,743 Vol.
5 ago 2026
meno di 40
$33,645 Vol.
47%
40-64
$25,674 Vol.
41%
65-89
$23,357 Vol.
13%
90-114
$21,115 Vol.
2%
115-139
$27,593 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$17,000 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$8,185 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$6,641 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$5,865 Vol.
<1%
240+
$3,668 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders view the sub-40 and 40-64 tweet ranges as the closest contest because Elon Musk’s daily posting volume typically hovers in the low-to-mid range absent major business catalysts. His X activity often stays measured during routine weeks, yet spikes follow earnings calls, product reveals, or high-profile exchanges. With August 3–5 falling mid-week and no confirmed Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI announcements on the immediate horizon, the market prices in limited upside. A single viral thread or rapid-fire replies could tip the total into the higher bin, while a quieter stretch would lock in the lower outcome. The tight spread captures this narrow window of uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$172,743Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders view the sub-40 and 40-64 tweet ranges as the closest contest because Elon Musk’s daily posting volume typically hovers in the low-to-mid range absent major business catalysts. His X activity often stays measured during routine weeks, yet spikes follow earnings calls, product reveals, or high-profile exchanges. With August 3–5 falling mid-week and no confirmed Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI announcements on the immediate horizon, the market prices in limited upside. A single viral thread or rapid-fire replies could tip the total into the higher bin, while a quieter stretch would lock in the lower outcome. The tight spread captures this narrow window of uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$172,743Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders view the sub-40 and 40-64 tweet ranges as the closest contest because Elon Musk’s daily posting volume typically hovers in the low-to-mid range absent major business catalysts. His X activity often stays measured during routine weeks, yet spikes follow earnings calls, product reveals, or high-profile exchanges. With August 3–5 falling mid-week and no confirmed Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI announcements on the immediate horizon, the market prices in limited upside. A single viral thread or rapid-fire replies could tip the total into the higher bin, while a quieter stretch would lock in the lower outcome. The tight spread captures this narrow window of uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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