Elon Musk’s elevated X posting pace through the first three weeks of September anchors trader sentiment around the 840-879 bracket, which currently leads at 20.5% implied probability. Early-month data showed over 200 posts in the initial eight days, while mid-month windows delivered roughly 50 posts across three-day stretches, supporting an extrapolated monthly total near 850 when scaled across 30 days. Closely bunched outcomes from 800-959 reflect uncertainty over whether daily volume will hold steady amid ongoing business updates, product launches, and platform engagement or taper as the month closes. Key catalysts ahead include any major Tesla, SpaceX, or X-related announcements that could spike activity before the September 30 cutoff.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato840-879 21%
880-919 18%
800-839 17%
760-799 13%
$169,514 Vol.
$169,514 Vol.
30 set 2026
560-599
<1%
600-639
1%
640-679
1%
680-719
2%
720-759
5%
760-799
13%
800-839
17%
840-879
21%
880-919
18%
920-959
13%
960-999
8%
1000-1039
4%
1040-1079
2%
1080-1119
1%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400+
<1%
840-879 21%
880-919 18%
800-839 17%
760-799 13%
$169,514 Vol.
$169,514 Vol.
30 set 2026
560-599
$4,816 Vol.
<1%
600-639
$2,664 Vol.
1%
640-679
$6,290 Vol.
1%
680-719
$7,493 Vol.
2%
720-759
$8,427 Vol.
5%
760-799
$15,444 Vol.
13%
800-839
$9,521 Vol.
17%
840-879
$13,690 Vol.
21%
880-919
$13,516 Vol.
18%
920-959
$13,601 Vol.
13%
960-999
$11,512 Vol.
8%
1000-1039
$7,813 Vol.
4%
1040-1079
$4,779 Vol.
2%
1080-1119
$1,942 Vol.
1%
1120-1159
$5,132 Vol.
1%
1160-1199
$1,378 Vol.
<1%
1200-1239
$1,441 Vol.
1%
1240-1279
$767 Vol.
<1%
1280-1319
$4,333 Vol.
<1%
1320-1359
$871 Vol.
<1%
1360-1399
$853 Vol.
<1%
1400+
$1,842 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts on X during the month of September 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated X posting pace through the first three weeks of September anchors trader sentiment around the 840-879 bracket, which currently leads at 20.5% implied probability. Early-month data showed over 200 posts in the initial eight days, while mid-month windows delivered roughly 50 posts across three-day stretches, supporting an extrapolated monthly total near 850 when scaled across 30 days. Closely bunched outcomes from 800-959 reflect uncertainty over whether daily volume will hold steady amid ongoing business updates, product launches, and platform engagement or taper as the month closes. Key catalysts ahead include any major Tesla, SpaceX, or X-related announcements that could spike activity before the September 30 cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts on X during the month of September 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Volume
$169,514Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 2:56 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts on X during the month of September 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated X posting pace through the first three weeks of September anchors trader sentiment around the 840-879 bracket, which currently leads at 20.5% implied probability. Early-month data showed over 200 posts in the initial eight days, while mid-month windows delivered roughly 50 posts across three-day stretches, supporting an extrapolated monthly total near 850 when scaled across 30 days. Closely bunched outcomes from 800-959 reflect uncertainty over whether daily volume will hold steady amid ongoing business updates, product launches, and platform engagement or taper as the month closes. Key catalysts ahead include any major Tesla, SpaceX, or X-related announcements that could spike activity before the September 30 cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts on X during the month of September 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$169,514Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 2:56 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s elevated X posting pace through the first three weeks of September anchors trader sentiment around the 840-879 bracket, which currently leads at 20.5% implied probability. Early-month data showed over 200 posts in the initial eight days, while mid-month windows delivered roughly 50 posts across three-day stretches, supporting an extrapolated monthly total near 850 when scaled across 30 days. Closely bunched outcomes from 800-959 reflect uncertainty over whether daily volume will hold steady amid ongoing business updates, product launches, and platform engagement or taper as the month closes. Key catalysts ahead include any major Tesla, SpaceX, or X-related announcements that could spike activity before the September 30 cutoff.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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