Mercedes' strong historical qualifying pace at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve, including George Russell's poles and victories in recent editions, combined with targeted low-downforce upgrades debuting this weekend, positions the British driver as the market leader at 30.5% implied probability. Teammate Kimi Antonelli sits at 22% on the back of three straight Grand Prix wins and the championship lead following Miami, though Russell's proven single-lap edge on this layout narrows the gap. Max Verstappen at 18.5% and the McLaren duo of Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri at 17.5% and 15.5% reflect consistent pace from Red Bull and McLaren, tempered by recent qualifying gaps to Mercedes, while Ferrari's Charles Leclerc trails at 13% after a podium in Miami.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGeorge Russell 31%
Kimi Antonelli 22%
Max Verstappen 19%
Lando Norris 18%
George Russell
31%
Kimi Antonelli
22%
Max Verstappen
19%
Lando Norris
18%
Oscar Piastri
16%
Charles Leclerc
12%
Lewis Hamilton
10%
Alexander Albon
3%
Isack Hadjar
3%
Pierre Gasly
3%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
3%
Gabriel Bortoleto
2%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Lance Stroll
2%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Arvid Lindblad
1%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
George Russell 31%
Kimi Antonelli 22%
Max Verstappen 19%
Lando Norris 18%
George Russell
31%
Kimi Antonelli
22%
Max Verstappen
19%
Lando Norris
18%
Oscar Piastri
16%
Charles Leclerc
12%
Lewis Hamilton
10%
Alexander Albon
3%
Isack Hadjar
3%
Pierre Gasly
3%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
3%
Gabriel Bortoleto
2%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Lance Stroll
2%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Arvid Lindblad
1%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Mercato aperto: Apr 25, 2026, 7:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes' strong historical qualifying pace at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve, including George Russell's poles and victories in recent editions, combined with targeted low-downforce upgrades debuting this weekend, positions the British driver as the market leader at 30.5% implied probability. Teammate Kimi Antonelli sits at 22% on the back of three straight Grand Prix wins and the championship lead following Miami, though Russell's proven single-lap edge on this layout narrows the gap. Max Verstappen at 18.5% and the McLaren duo of Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri at 17.5% and 15.5% reflect consistent pace from Red Bull and McLaren, tempered by recent qualifying gaps to Mercedes, while Ferrari's Charles Leclerc trails at 13% after a podium in Miami.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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