Republican Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Florida special Senate election as the appointed incumbent filling Marco Rubio’s unexpired term, with recent polls showing her ahead of Democratic challengers Alexander Vindman or Angie Nixon by 6 to 13 points among likely voters. Florida’s consistent Republican performance in statewide contests, combined with Moody’s name recognition from her prior role as attorney general and the state’s structural GOP advantages in turnout and voter registration, continue to shape trader expectations. Primaries scheduled for August 18 and the November general election remain the key upcoming milestones that could influence final positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$37,324 Vol.
$37,324 Vol.
Repubblicano
82%
Democratico
17%
$37,324 Vol.
$37,324 Vol.
Repubblicano
$19,980 Vol.
82%
Democratico
$17,344 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Florida special Senate election as the appointed incumbent filling Marco Rubio’s unexpired term, with recent polls showing her ahead of Democratic challengers Alexander Vindman or Angie Nixon by 6 to 13 points among likely voters. Florida’s consistent Republican performance in statewide contests, combined with Moody’s name recognition from her prior role as attorney general and the state’s structural GOP advantages in turnout and voter registration, continue to shape trader expectations. Primaries scheduled for August 18 and the November general election remain the key upcoming milestones that could influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Volume
$37,324Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Florida special Senate election as the appointed incumbent filling Marco Rubio’s unexpired term, with recent polls showing her ahead of Democratic challengers Alexander Vindman or Angie Nixon by 6 to 13 points among likely voters. Florida’s consistent Republican performance in statewide contests, combined with Moody’s name recognition from her prior role as attorney general and the state’s structural GOP advantages in turnout and voter registration, continue to shape trader expectations. Primaries scheduled for August 18 and the November general election remain the key upcoming milestones that could influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$37,324Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Florida special Senate election as the appointed incumbent filling Marco Rubio’s unexpired term, with recent polls showing her ahead of Democratic challengers Alexander Vindman or Angie Nixon by 6 to 13 points among likely voters. Florida’s consistent Republican performance in statewide contests, combined with Moody’s name recognition from her prior role as attorney general and the state’s structural GOP advantages in turnout and voter registration, continue to shape trader expectations. Primaries scheduled for August 18 and the November general election remain the key upcoming milestones that could influence final positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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