Recent China Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts point to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Beijing on June 18, aligning with the near-even market probabilities for those two bins. Subtle variations in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and weak southerly flow create the tight spread across the 30–33°C outcomes, while historical June averages near 30–31°C limit the likelihood of extremes above 34°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs that resolve these local thermodynamic details ahead of the June 18 observation window at Beijing Capital International Airport.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Pechino il 18 giugno?
La temperatura più alta a Pechino il 18 giugno?
32°C 34%
31°C 31%
30°C 20%
29°C 9%
NUOVO
$40,923 Vol.
NUOVO
$40,923 Vol.
18 giu 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
20%
31°C
31%
32°C
34%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 34%
31°C 31%
30°C 20%
29°C 9%
NUOVO
$40,923 Vol.
NUOVO
$40,923 Vol.
18 giu 2026
26°C or below
$4,450 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,782 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,760 Vol.
1%
29°C
$2,688 Vol.
9%
30°C
$2,868 Vol.
20%
31°C
$2,801 Vol.
31%
32°C
$8,367 Vol.
34%
33°C
$5,867 Vol.
8%
34°C
$3,761 Vol.
1%
35°C
$2,337 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$3,243 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent China Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts point to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Beijing on June 18, aligning with the near-even market probabilities for those two bins. Subtle variations in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and weak southerly flow create the tight spread across the 30–33°C outcomes, while historical June averages near 30–31°C limit the likelihood of extremes above 34°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs that resolve these local thermodynamic details ahead of the June 18 observation window at Beijing Capital International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$40,923Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent China Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts point to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Beijing on June 18, aligning with the near-even market probabilities for those two bins. Subtle variations in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and weak southerly flow create the tight spread across the 30–33°C outcomes, while historical June averages near 30–31°C limit the likelihood of extremes above 34°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs that resolve these local thermodynamic details ahead of the June 18 observation window at Beijing Capital International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40,923Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent China Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts point to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Beijing on June 18, aligning with the near-even market probabilities for those two bins. Subtle variations in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and weak southerly flow create the tight spread across the 30–33°C outcomes, while historical June averages near 30–31°C limit the likelihood of extremes above 34°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs that resolve these local thermodynamic details ahead of the June 18 observation window at Beijing Capital International Airport.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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