**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 21–22°C as the likely daily maximum for Buenos Aires on October 6, reflecting model agreement on limited daytime heating.** Persistent cloud cover, easterly winds near 10–15 km/h, and dew points in the 9–12°C range are expected to suppress insolation and cap temperatures, consistent with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and ensemble outputs showing overcast skies with only a modest 30–40% chance of light rain or drizzle. These conditions align with typical early-spring patterns in the region, where marine influence and weak synoptic forcing often keep highs near or slightly below seasonal averages. Model spread remains modest, with some runs indicating brief clearing that could allow a 23°C spike, while others favor slightly cooler outcomes if precipitation develops earlier; resolution hinges on the exact timing of any cloud breaks or showers before peak heating hours.