**Current forecast models and real-time observations strongly support trader consensus around a 22°C high for Chongqing on October 5.** Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity are limiting daytime heating under typical autumn atmospheric conditions, consistent with October climatology showing mean daily maxima near 22°C. Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration aligns with this range, with limited model spread and no signals of rapid clearing that could push readings higher. A shift to clearer skies or stronger subsidence could allow brief warming toward 24°C, though such developments appear unlikely given the entrenched moisture and weak steering flow. Final station readings will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.