Official National Weather Service guidance calls for a high near 91°F in Denver on July 31 under mostly sunny skies, with thunderstorms possible after peak heating. This places the market-implied favorite (90-91°F) in line with the deterministic forecast while the near-even 88-89°F bin reflects uncertainty from afternoon convection. Thunderstorm initiation can limit surface heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rain, potentially shaving several degrees off the daily maximum, whereas stronger insolation or delayed storm development would favor readings at the upper end of the 88-93°F range. Recent model consensus shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of upslope flow, keeping the two leading outcomes tightly matched as traders weigh these mesoscale variables against the official 91°F projection.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Denver il 31 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Denver il 31 luglio?
90-91°F 38%
88-89°F 33%
86-87°F 15%
84-85°F 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 lug 2026
77°F o inferiore
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
33%
90-91°F
38%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
4%
96°F o superiore
1%
90-91°F 38%
88-89°F 33%
86-87°F 15%
84-85°F 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 lug 2026
77°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$20 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$25 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$16 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
10%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
15%
88-89°F
$7 Vol.
33%
90-91°F
$59 Vol.
38%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
7%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
4%
96°F o superiore
$21 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance calls for a high near 91°F in Denver on July 31 under mostly sunny skies, with thunderstorms possible after peak heating. This places the market-implied favorite (90-91°F) in line with the deterministic forecast while the near-even 88-89°F bin reflects uncertainty from afternoon convection. Thunderstorm initiation can limit surface heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rain, potentially shaving several degrees off the daily maximum, whereas stronger insolation or delayed storm development would favor readings at the upper end of the 88-93°F range. Recent model consensus shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of upslope flow, keeping the two leading outcomes tightly matched as traders weigh these mesoscale variables against the official 91°F projection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Volume
$147Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance calls for a high near 91°F in Denver on July 31 under mostly sunny skies, with thunderstorms possible after peak heating. This places the market-implied favorite (90-91°F) in line with the deterministic forecast while the near-even 88-89°F bin reflects uncertainty from afternoon convection. Thunderstorm initiation can limit surface heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rain, potentially shaving several degrees off the daily maximum, whereas stronger insolation or delayed storm development would favor readings at the upper end of the 88-93°F range. Recent model consensus shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of upslope flow, keeping the two leading outcomes tightly matched as traders weigh these mesoscale variables against the official 91°F projection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$147Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service guidance calls for a high near 91°F in Denver on July 31 under mostly sunny skies, with thunderstorms possible after peak heating. This places the market-implied favorite (90-91°F) in line with the deterministic forecast while the near-even 88-89°F bin reflects uncertainty from afternoon convection. Thunderstorm initiation can limit surface heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rain, potentially shaving several degrees off the daily maximum, whereas stronger insolation or delayed storm development would favor readings at the upper end of the 88-93°F range. Recent model consensus shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of upslope flow, keeping the two leading outcomes tightly matched as traders weigh these mesoscale variables against the official 91°F projection.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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