Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate highs near 29–31°C for Karachi on August 4 amid patchy rain, strong sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, and lingering monsoon clouds, which typically cap peak temperatures below seasonal norms. Traders appear to weigh historical August averages around 32°C and a seasonal outlook for slightly above-normal conditions (+0.6°C in Sindh) driven by ENSO warming trends, positioning 32–34°C as favored outcomes despite short-term moderation. Key variables include model consensus on intensification of onshore flow versus any brief clear spells that could allow brief spikes, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings from local stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Karachi il 4 agosto?
33°C 46%
34°C 28%
32°C 21%
31°C 9%
27°C o inferiore
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
9%
31°C
9%
32°C
21%
33°C
56%
34°C
28%
35°C
5%
36°C
4%
37°C o superiore
1%
33°C 46%
34°C 28%
32°C 21%
31°C 9%
27°C o inferiore
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
9%
31°C
9%
32°C
21%
33°C
56%
34°C
28%
35°C
5%
36°C
4%
37°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate highs near 29–31°C for Karachi on August 4 amid patchy rain, strong sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, and lingering monsoon clouds, which typically cap peak temperatures below seasonal norms. Traders appear to weigh historical August averages around 32°C and a seasonal outlook for slightly above-normal conditions (+0.6°C in Sindh) driven by ENSO warming trends, positioning 32–34°C as favored outcomes despite short-term moderation. Key variables include model consensus on intensification of onshore flow versus any brief clear spells that could allow brief spikes, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings from local stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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