Recent forecasts for Hong Kong indicate typical early-August conditions with overnight lows near 26°C amid scattered showers and high humidity, supporting trader emphasis on 25–26°C outcomes as the most probable daily minimums. Seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory projects normal to above-normal temperatures through October, consistent with long-term warming trends that limit cooler scenarios below 24°C. Key variables include the timing and intensity of convective rain, which can suppress nighttime cooling, versus clearer periods that allow greater radiative heat loss; model spread in steering patterns and cloud cover adds uncertainty across the 22–28°C range. Official updates on August 3–4 will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 4 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 4 agosto?
21°C o inferiore 43%
25°C 37%
26°C 22%
24°C 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ago 2026
21°C o inferiore
43%
22°C
12%
23°C
12%
24°C
18%
25°C
37%
26°C
22%
27°C
18%
28°C
13%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
21°C o inferiore 43%
25°C 37%
26°C 22%
24°C 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ago 2026
21°C o inferiore
$42 Vol.
43%
22°C
$42 Vol.
12%
23°C
$0 Vol.
12%
24°C
$0 Vol.
18%
25°C
$10 Vol.
37%
26°C
$0 Vol.
22%
27°C
$0 Vol.
18%
28°C
$10 Vol.
13%
29°C
$32 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
31°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts for Hong Kong indicate typical early-August conditions with overnight lows near 26°C amid scattered showers and high humidity, supporting trader emphasis on 25–26°C outcomes as the most probable daily minimums. Seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory projects normal to above-normal temperatures through October, consistent with long-term warming trends that limit cooler scenarios below 24°C. Key variables include the timing and intensity of convective rain, which can suppress nighttime cooling, versus clearer periods that allow greater radiative heat loss; model spread in steering patterns and cloud cover adds uncertainty across the 22–28°C range. Official updates on August 3–4 will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$135Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts for Hong Kong indicate typical early-August conditions with overnight lows near 26°C amid scattered showers and high humidity, supporting trader emphasis on 25–26°C outcomes as the most probable daily minimums. Seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory projects normal to above-normal temperatures through October, consistent with long-term warming trends that limit cooler scenarios below 24°C. Key variables include the timing and intensity of convective rain, which can suppress nighttime cooling, versus clearer periods that allow greater radiative heat loss; model spread in steering patterns and cloud cover adds uncertainty across the 22–28°C range. Official updates on August 3–4 will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$135Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Hong Kong indicate typical early-August conditions with overnight lows near 26°C amid scattered showers and high humidity, supporting trader emphasis on 25–26°C outcomes as the most probable daily minimums. Seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory projects normal to above-normal temperatures through October, consistent with long-term warming trends that limit cooler scenarios below 24°C. Key variables include the timing and intensity of convective rain, which can suppress nighttime cooling, versus clearer periods that allow greater radiative heat loss; model spread in steering patterns and cloud cover adds uncertainty across the 22–28°C range. Official updates on August 3–4 will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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