Recent model consensus from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicates Madrid highs near 36–37°C on June 19, 2026, amid a building European heat dome with subtropical air advection. Clear skies and strong daytime insolation support peak temperatures in this range, while any late-day showers noted in extended guidance could slightly suppress the maximum. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from boundary-layer mixing and precise timing of moisture return, creating tight differentiation between 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Madrid’s urban heat island adds 1–2°C locally at official stations relative to rural surroundings. Historical mid-June averages hover near 28–30°C, so current warmth reflects anomalous ridging. Updated short-range runs expected within 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 19?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 19?
36°C 45%
37°C 36%
35°C 8%
34°C 7.4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 giu 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
7%
35°C
8%
36°C
45%
37°C
36%
38°C
7%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 45%
37°C 36%
35°C 8%
34°C 7.4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 giu 2026
33°C or below
$530 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,742 Vol.
7%
35°C
$1,202 Vol.
8%
36°C
$1,379 Vol.
45%
37°C
$765 Vol.
36%
38°C
$1,169 Vol.
7%
39°C
$478 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$356 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$306 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicates Madrid highs near 36–37°C on June 19, 2026, amid a building European heat dome with subtropical air advection. Clear skies and strong daytime insolation support peak temperatures in this range, while any late-day showers noted in extended guidance could slightly suppress the maximum. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from boundary-layer mixing and precise timing of moisture return, creating tight differentiation between 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Madrid’s urban heat island adds 1–2°C locally at official stations relative to rural surroundings. Historical mid-June averages hover near 28–30°C, so current warmth reflects anomalous ridging. Updated short-range runs expected within 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 17, 2026, 3:17 AM ET
Volume
$8,227Data di fine
19 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 17, 2026, 3:17 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicates Madrid highs near 36–37°C on June 19, 2026, amid a building European heat dome with subtropical air advection. Clear skies and strong daytime insolation support peak temperatures in this range, while any late-day showers noted in extended guidance could slightly suppress the maximum. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from boundary-layer mixing and precise timing of moisture return, creating tight differentiation between 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Madrid’s urban heat island adds 1–2°C locally at official stations relative to rural surroundings. Historical mid-June averages hover near 28–30°C, so current warmth reflects anomalous ridging. Updated short-range runs expected within 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,227Data di fine
19 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 17, 2026, 3:17 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicates Madrid highs near 36–37°C on June 19, 2026, amid a building European heat dome with subtropical air advection. Clear skies and strong daytime insolation support peak temperatures in this range, while any late-day showers noted in extended guidance could slightly suppress the maximum. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from boundary-layer mixing and precise timing of moisture return, creating tight differentiation between 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Madrid’s urban heat island adds 1–2°C locally at official stations relative to rural surroundings. Historical mid-June averages hover near 28–30°C, so current warmth reflects anomalous ridging. Updated short-range runs expected within 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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