Recent El Niño development, with Niño-3.4 indices rising above +1°C and strengthening through mid-2026, has tilted Panama toward drier, sunnier conditions that favor elevated daytime maxima. Typical June highs near 30°C can reach 32–34°C when reduced cloud cover and limited afternoon convection allow greater solar heating, while localized showers or stronger trades cap peaks closer to 32°C. Forecaster consensus on short-term model runs shows modest spread around these thresholds due to timing of tropical moisture and boundary-layer mixing, explaining the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities near 32–34°C rather than a dominant outlier.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Panama City il 28 giugno?
La temperatura più alta a Panama City il 28 giugno?
33°C 50%
34°C 31%
32°C 18%
35°C 4.5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
28 giu 2026
28°C o inferiore
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
18%
33°C
50%
34°C
31%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C o superiore
<1%
33°C 50%
34°C 31%
32°C 18%
35°C 4.5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
28 giu 2026
28°C o inferiore
$549 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$449 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$319 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$566 Vol.
3%
32°C
$769 Vol.
18%
33°C
$810 Vol.
50%
34°C
$835 Vol.
31%
35°C
$1,318 Vol.
5%
36°C
$373 Vol.
1%
37°C
$608 Vol.
<1%
38°C o superiore
$815 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent El Niño development, with Niño-3.4 indices rising above +1°C and strengthening through mid-2026, has tilted Panama toward drier, sunnier conditions that favor elevated daytime maxima. Typical June highs near 30°C can reach 32–34°C when reduced cloud cover and limited afternoon convection allow greater solar heating, while localized showers or stronger trades cap peaks closer to 32°C. Forecaster consensus on short-term model runs shows modest spread around these thresholds due to timing of tropical moisture and boundary-layer mixing, explaining the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities near 32–34°C rather than a dominant outlier.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$7,410Data di fine
28 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent El Niño development, with Niño-3.4 indices rising above +1°C and strengthening through mid-2026, has tilted Panama toward drier, sunnier conditions that favor elevated daytime maxima. Typical June highs near 30°C can reach 32–34°C when reduced cloud cover and limited afternoon convection allow greater solar heating, while localized showers or stronger trades cap peaks closer to 32°C. Forecaster consensus on short-term model runs shows modest spread around these thresholds due to timing of tropical moisture and boundary-layer mixing, explaining the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities near 32–34°C rather than a dominant outlier.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,410Data di fine
28 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent El Niño development, with Niño-3.4 indices rising above +1°C and strengthening through mid-2026, has tilted Panama toward drier, sunnier conditions that favor elevated daytime maxima. Typical June highs near 30°C can reach 32–34°C when reduced cloud cover and limited afternoon convection allow greater solar heating, while localized showers or stronger trades cap peaks closer to 32°C. Forecaster consensus on short-term model runs shows modest spread around these thresholds due to timing of tropical moisture and boundary-layer mixing, explaining the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities near 32–34°C rather than a dominant outlier.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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