Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate overnight lows in New York City on June 27 will likely settle in the upper 60s to low 70s, with ensemble spreads centered near 68–72 °F amid partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This narrow range of outcomes explains why the 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F bins hold the highest implied probabilities while neighboring bins trail. Key variables still in play include the precise timing of any clearing, which controls radiative cooling rates, and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress minimum temperatures by several degrees. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations from Central Park will narrow the remaining uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di New York il 27 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa di New York il 27 giugno?
70-71°F 33%
72-73°F 30%
68-69°F 18%
74-75°F 16.9%
NUOVO
$13,387 Vol.
NUOVO
$13,387 Vol.
27 giu 2026
63°F o meno
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
33%
72-73°F
30%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F o superiore
<1%
70-71°F 33%
72-73°F 30%
68-69°F 18%
74-75°F 16.9%
NUOVO
$13,387 Vol.
NUOVO
$13,387 Vol.
27 giu 2026
63°F o meno
$724 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,012 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$445 Vol.
3%
68-69°F
$744 Vol.
18%
70-71°F
$5,564 Vol.
33%
72-73°F
$1,069 Vol.
30%
74-75°F
$468 Vol.
17%
76-77°F
$329 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$1,154 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$682 Vol.
<1%
82°F o superiore
$1,197 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate overnight lows in New York City on June 27 will likely settle in the upper 60s to low 70s, with ensemble spreads centered near 68–72 °F amid partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This narrow range of outcomes explains why the 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F bins hold the highest implied probabilities while neighboring bins trail. Key variables still in play include the precise timing of any clearing, which controls radiative cooling rates, and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress minimum temperatures by several degrees. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations from Central Park will narrow the remaining uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$13,387Data di fine
27 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate overnight lows in New York City on June 27 will likely settle in the upper 60s to low 70s, with ensemble spreads centered near 68–72 °F amid partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This narrow range of outcomes explains why the 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F bins hold the highest implied probabilities while neighboring bins trail. Key variables still in play include the precise timing of any clearing, which controls radiative cooling rates, and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress minimum temperatures by several degrees. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations from Central Park will narrow the remaining uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,387Data di fine
27 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate overnight lows in New York City on June 27 will likely settle in the upper 60s to low 70s, with ensemble spreads centered near 68–72 °F amid partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This narrow range of outcomes explains why the 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F bins hold the highest implied probabilities while neighboring bins trail. Key variables still in play include the precise timing of any clearing, which controls radiative cooling rates, and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress minimum temperatures by several degrees. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations from Central Park will narrow the remaining uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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